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Superligaen

Referee: J Kehlet

Brondby

U U S T S

1–0

Full-time

Midtjylland

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,8

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 62%

59%

65%

Points per game

2,0

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

71%

65%

Both score Ø 59%

53%

65%

Average goals

2,9

3,2

Scored

1,9

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,75 xG 2,05

44% Possession 56%

8 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brondby 3. · Midtjylland 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	18	11	3	4	+16	+13.6	36
2	Midtjylland	17	11	3	3	+14	+10.3	36
3	Brondby	17	10	4	3	+16	+4.5	34
4	Nordsjaelland	18	8	6	4	+13	+8.2	30
5	Aarhus	17	7	7	3	+4	+5.1	28
6	Silkeborg	18	8	3	7	+4	+7.3	27
7	Odense	18	5	5	8	-3	-6.0	20
8	Lyngby	18	5	5	8	-7	-2.7	20
9	Randers FC	18	4	7	7	-11	-2.5	19
10	Viborg	18	5	4	9	-13	-6.2	19
11	Vejle	17	3	5	9	-5	-15.7	14
12	Hvidovre IF	18	1	4	13	-28	-16.0	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	9	6	2	1	+10	+5.9	20
2	Nordsjaelland	9	5	3	1	+9	+5.9	18
3	Silkeborg	10	5	2	3	+4	+6.4	17
4	Brondby	8	5	1	2	+9	+6.6	16
5	FC Copenhagen	9	5	1	3	+7	+9.9	16
6	Viborg	9	4	3	2	+1	-1.9	15
7	Aarhus	8	4	2	2	+0	+3.0	14
8	Lyngby	9	3	4	2	+3	+1.4	13
9	Randers FC	9	2	4	3	-6	+1.2	10
10	Vejle	8	2	2	4	-1	-5.4	8
11	Odense	9	0	3	6	-9	-0.8	3
12	Hvidovre IF	9	0	1	8	-18	-4.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	9	6	2	1	+9	+3.7	20
2	Brondby	9	5	3	1	+7	-2.1	18
3	Odense	9	5	2	2	+6	-5.2	17
4	Midtjylland	8	5	1	2	+4	+4.4	16
5	Aarhus	9	3	5	1	+4	+2.1	14
6	Nordsjaelland	9	3	3	3	+4	+2.3	12
7	Silkeborg	8	3	1	4	+0	+0.9	10
8	Randers FC	9	2	3	4	-5	-3.7	9
9	Lyngby	9	2	1	6	-10	-4.0	7
10	Vejle	9	1	3	5	-4	-10.3	6
11	Hvidovre IF	9	1	3	5	-10	-11.5	6
12	Viborg	9	1	1	7	-14	-4.3	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.