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Superligaen

Referee: M Redder

Lyngby

T U S S T

3–1

Full-time

Viborg

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyngby Viborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 30%

27%

33%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

53%

57%

Both score Ø 59%

57%

60%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,22 xG 2,19

48% Possession 52%

16 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyngby 11. · Viborg 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	30	19	4	7	+19	+11.0	61
2	Brondby	30	17	8	5	+24	+6.7	59
3	FC Copenhagen	30	18	4	8	+27	+18.9	58
4	Nordsjaelland	30	16	8	6	+26	+4.5	56
5	Aarhus	30	9	11	10	-6	+5.0	38
6	Randers FC	31	9	11	11	-9	+0.5	38
7	Viborg	30	10	7	13	-9	-3.7	37
8	Silkeborg	30	10	5	15	-9	+5.5	35
9	Vejle	30	8	9	13	-5	-18.7	33
10	Odense	31	8	8	15	-10	-6.9	32
11	Lyngby	30	8	8	14	-16	-5.8	32
12	Hvidovre IF	30	4	7	19	-32	-17.0	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	15	10	3	2	+16	+9.1	33
2	Nordsjaelland	15	9	5	1	+20	+5.7	32
3	Brondby	15	9	3	3	+13	+7.1	30
4	FC Copenhagen	15	9	1	5	+14	+15.0	28
5	Viborg	15	7	4	4	+5	-1.2	25
6	Lyngby	15	5	7	3	+4	+1.2	22
7	Silkeborg	15	6	3	6	+2	+7.9	21
8	Randers FC	15	5	6	4	-1	+3.5	21
9	Vejle	15	5	4	6	+1	-5.6	19
10	Aarhus	15	5	4	6	-4	+4.3	19
11	Odense	16	1	3	12	-17	-3.3	6
12	Hvidovre IF	15	1	2	12	-22	-5.3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	15	9	3	3	+13	+4.0	30
2	Brondby	15	8	5	2	+11	-0.4	29
3	Midtjylland	15	9	1	5	+3	+1.9	28
4	Odense	15	7	5	3	+7	-3.6	26
5	Nordsjaelland	15	7	3	5	+6	-1.2	24
6	Aarhus	15	4	7	4	-2	+0.7	19
7	Randers FC	16	4	5	7	-8	-3.0	17
8	Vejle	15	3	5	7	-6	-13.1	14
9	Hvidovre IF	15	3	5	7	-10	-11.7	14
10	Silkeborg	15	4	2	9	-11	-2.4	14
11	Viborg	15	3	3	9	-14	-2.6	12
12	Lyngby	15	3	1	11	-20	-6.9	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.