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Eliteserien

Referee: M Lien

Molde

S T S U S

2–4

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,2

4,0

Scored

2,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 41%

56%

25%

Points per game

1,9

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 47%

56%

38%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,1

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,25 xG 0,54

66% Possession 34%

13 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

4 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 3. · Sarpsborg 08 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	7	1	0	+17	+4.8	22
2	Brann	9	6	2	1	+9	+8.9	20
3	Molde	9	5	2	2	+9	+7.7	17
4	Fredrikstad	8	5	2	1	+9	+2.0	17
5	KFUM Oslo	8	3	3	2	+0	+3.5	12
6	Viking	8	3	3	2	-1	+4.8	12
7	Lillestrom	8	3	1	4	-3	-2.5	10
8	Rosenborg	8	3	1	4	-3	-6.8	10
9	Haugesund	8	3	1	4	-3	-1.4	10
10	Stromsgodset	8	3	1	4	-5	-2.0	10
11	Kristiansund	8	2	3	3	-3	-2.1	9
12	Odd	9	2	2	5	-11	-10.6	8
13	Ham-Kam	9	1	4	4	+2	+0.2	7
14	Sandefjord	7	2	1	4	+0	+1.0	7
15	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	1	5	-9	-1.3	7
16	Tromso	7	1	0	6	-8	-6.1	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	5	4	0	1	+5	+6.2	12
2	Molde	5	3	1	1	+6	+6.6	10
3	Bodo/Glimt	4	3	1	0	+6	+2.0	10
4	Viking	5	2	2	1	-1	+2.1	8
5	Fredrikstad	4	2	1	1	+2	+2.2	7
6	Sandefjord	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.1	6
7	Rosenborg	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.2	6
8	Kristiansund	4	1	2	1	-1	+0.7	5
9	Stromsgodset	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.6	4
10	Tromso	4	1	0	3	-2	-0.2	3
11	Haugesund	4	1	0	3	-4	+2.3	3
12	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	0	3	-8	+0.5	3
13	KFUM Oslo	4	0	2	2	-5	+2.2	2
14	Odd	5	0	2	3	-7	-4.8	2
15	Ham-Kam	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.3	1
16	Lillestrom	4	0	1	3	-8	-3.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	4	4	0	0	+11	+2.8	12
2	Fredrikstad	4	3	1	0	+7	-0.2	10
3	KFUM Oslo	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.3	10
4	Lillestrom	4	3	0	1	+5	+0.7	9
5	Brann	4	2	2	0	+4	+2.6	8
6	Molde	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.1	7
7	Haugesund	4	2	1	1	+1	-3.8	7
8	Ham-Kam	6	1	3	2	+4	+0.4	6
9	Odd	4	2	0	2	-4	-5.9	6
10	Stromsgodset	5	2	0	3	-5	-2.6	6
11	Viking	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.7	4
12	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.8	4
13	Rosenborg	4	1	1	2	-2	-5.6	4
14	Kristiansund	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.8	4
15	Sandefjord	4	0	1	3	-4	+1.0	1
16	Tromso	3	0	0	3	-6	-5.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.