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Superligaen
Referee: A Uslu
Midtjylland
U S S U U
6–2
Full-time
Sonderjyske
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Sonderjyske
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
6,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

3,37 xG 1,98
55% Possession 45%
22 Shots 20
9 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Midtjylland 7. · Sonderjyske 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Brondby 2 2 0 0 +4 +0.8 6
2 FC Copenhagen 2 2 0 0 +3 +3.2 6
3 Odense 2 1 1 0 +2 +1.1 4
4 Randers FC 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.3 4
5 Fredericia 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.6 3
6 Nordsjaelland 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.1 3
7 Midtjylland 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
8 Sonderjyske 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.8 1
9 Aarhus 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.3 1
10 Vejle 2 0 1 1 -2 -1.8 1
11 Viborg 2 0 0 2 -3 -2.6 0
12 Silkeborg 2 0 0 2 -5 -0.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Oct -24 Sonderjyske – Midtjylland 3–2 24. Aug -24 Midtjylland – Sonderjyske 3–2 24. Oct -21 Midtjylland – Sonderjyske 3–2 13. Aug -21 Sonderjyske – Midtjylland 0–2 4. Feb -21 Midtjylland – Sonderjyske 1–2

Match report

Midtjylland Sonderjyske
9′
⚽ A. Lyng 0–1
M. Agger
1–1 Franculino ⚽
A. Simsir
17′
2–1 A. Gabriel ⚽
A. Simsir
27′
3–1 Franculino ⚽
A. Gabriel
35′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 M. Cherif
↦ T. Klysner
58′
🔁 M. Hoppe
↦ M. Soulas
V. Byskov 🔁
↦ E. Chilufya
60′
D. Osorio 🔁
↦ A. Simsir
60′
4–1 V. Byskov ⚽
Franculino
65′
68′
🔁 L. Bjorklund
↦ O. Hyseni
K. Mbabu 🔁
↦ A. Gabriel
72′
D. Castillo 🔁
↦ O. Sorensen
72′
5–1 Franculino ⚽
75′
77′
🟨 Tobias Sommer
F. Etim 🔁
↦ M. Gogorza
77′
6–1 M. Bech Sorensen ⚽
V. Byskov
79′
81′
🔁 M. Olsen
↦ A. Lyng
81′
🔁 A. Rrahmani
↦ M. Agger
84′
ℹ️ Matthew Hoppe
VAR: Penalty confirmed
86′
⚽ M. Jensen 6–2
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-4-2
1 J. Lossl G
13 A. Gabriel D
3 Lee Han-Beom D
22 M. Bech Sorensen D
55 V. Bak D
58 A. Simsir M
80 Dani Silva M
24 O. Sorensen M
41 M. Gogorza M
7 Franculino F
14 E. Chilufya F
Bench (9)
16 E. Olafsson
43 K. Mbabu
29 Paulinho
19 P. Bravo
20 V. Byskov
21 D. Castillo
11 D. Osorio
90 F. Etim
74 Junior Brumado

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Sonderjyske

3-4-1-2
16 M. Bundgaard G
12 M. Soulas D
5 M. Jensen D
4 D. L. Gretarsson D
20 T. Klysner M
22 A. Oggesen M
26 T. Sommer M
23 G. Duru M
11 A. Lyng F
25 M. Agger F
24 O. Hyseni F
Bench (9)
1 N. Flo
2 M. Olsen
3 S. Waever
28 A. Pedersen
8 L. Bjorklund
31 M. Cherif
29 A. Rrahmani
9 I. Djantou
14 M. Hoppe

Coach: Thomas Norgaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Uslu · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.