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Superligaen

Referee: J Hansen

Sonderjyske

T S S T T

3–2

Full-time

Midtjylland

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

18%

64%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

64%

Both score Ø 64%

55%

73%

Average goals

3,1

3,2

Scored

0,9

2,0

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 10

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sonderjyske 11. · Midtjylland 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	12	7	3	2	+10	+9.9	24
2	Midtjylland	11	7	3	1	+9	+5.4	24
3	Aarhus	11	5	5	1	+14	+1.6	20
4	Silkeborg	12	5	5	2	+6	-0.8	20
5	Nordsjaelland	12	5	4	3	+5	+5.2	19
6	Brondby	11	5	3	3	+5	+6.3	18
7	Randers FC	12	4	6	2	+3	+0.2	18
8	Viborg	12	3	5	4	+1	-2.4	14
9	Aalborg	12	4	1	7	-12	-8.3	13
10	Lyngby	12	1	6	5	-6	-2.7	9
11	Sonderjyske	11	2	2	7	-14	-8.5	8
12	Vejle	12	0	1	11	-21	-5.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	5	5	0	0	+8	+5.2	15
2	FC Copenhagen	6	4	2	0	+7	+5.8	14
3	Nordsjaelland	7	3	4	0	+7	+2.8	13
4	Aarhus	6	3	3	0	+10	+1.5	12
5	Silkeborg	6	3	2	1	+3	+0.1	11
6	Brondby	5	3	1	1	+4	+2.6	10
7	Aalborg	6	3	0	3	-5	-2.9	9
8	Viborg	5	2	2	1	+1	-2.7	8
9	Randers FC	6	2	2	2	+0	+0.4	8
10	Lyngby	7	1	3	3	-4	-0.7	6
11	Sonderjyske	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.4	5
12	Vejle	6	0	1	5	-10	-1.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	6	3	1	2	+3	+4.1	10
2	Randers FC	6	2	4	0	+3	-0.2	10
3	Silkeborg	6	2	3	1	+3	-0.9	9
4	Midtjylland	6	2	3	1	+1	+0.2	9
5	Aarhus	5	2	2	1	+4	+0.1	8
6	Brondby	6	2	2	2	+1	+3.7	8
7	Viborg	7	1	3	3	+0	+0.3	6
8	Nordsjaelland	5	2	0	3	-2	+2.4	6
9	Aalborg	6	1	1	4	-7	-5.4	4
10	Lyngby	5	0	3	2	-2	-2.1	3
11	Sonderjyske	6	1	0	5	-10	-5.2	3
12	Vejle	6	0	0	6	-11	-4.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.