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Superligaen
Referee: J Hansen
Sonderjyske
S S U S T
2–1
Full-time
Silkeborg
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Silkeborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
26%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
58%
53%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
53%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,56 xG 0,66
46% Possession 54%
16 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sonderjyske 6. · Silkeborg 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 20 13 5 2 +19 +16.4 44
2 Midtjylland 20 12 6 2 +31 +6.1 42
3 Brondby 20 10 2 8 +9 +8.9 32
4 Viborg 20 9 3 8 +4 -2.5 30
5 Nordsjaelland 20 10 0 10 -1 -1.3 30
6 Sonderjyske 19 8 5 6 +4 -2.7 29
7 FC Copenhagen 20 8 4 8 +2 +13.7 28
8 Odense 20 7 5 8 -9 +2.3 26
9 Randers FC 20 6 5 9 -5 +3.8 23
10 Silkeborg 19 5 4 10 -15 -13.5 19
11 Fredericia 20 5 3 12 -21 -19.2 18
12 Vejle 20 3 4 13 -18 -12.1 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sonderjyske Silkeborg
6′
⚽ T. Adamsen 0–1
Tobias Sommer ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
20′
Sefer Emini 🟨
23′
24′
🟨 Tonni Adamsen
38′
🟨 Younes Bakiz
Half-time 0–1
R. Vinderslev 🔁
↦ S. Emini
46′
T. Klysner 🔁
↦ S. Waever
46′
64′
🔁 S. Berger
↦ Y. Bakiz
O. Hyseni 🔁
↦ M. Hoppe
65′
74′
🟨 Nicolai Larsen
1–1 O. Hyseni ⚽
T. Klysner
77′
D. Wilkins 🔁
↦ D. L. Gretarsson
78′
78′
🔁 O. Ross
↦ C. McCowatt
2–1 L. Qamili ⚽
84′
P. Kristensen 🔁
↦ L. Qamili
86′
86′
🔁 A. Simmelhack
↦ V. Westh
86′
🔁 W. Kirk
↦ M. Larsen
89′
🟨 Jens Martin Gammelby
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sonderjyske

4-2-3-1
16 M. Bundgaard G
3 S. Waever D
5 M. Jensen D
12 M. Soulas D
4 D. L. Gretarsson D
7 S. Emini M
26 T. Sommer M
25 M. Agger M
31 M. Cherif M
15 L. Qamili M
9 M. Hoppe F
Bench (9)
1 N. Flo
6 R. Vinderslev
11 A. Lyng
13 D. Wilkins
19 P. Kristensen
20 T. Klysner
22 A. Oggesen
23 G. Duru
24 O. Hyseni

Coach: Thomas Norgaard

Silkeborg

4-3-2-1
1 N. Larsen G
19 J. Gammelby D
3 R. Ostrom D
4 P. Ganchas D
2 A. Poulsen D
20 M. Larsen M
6 A. Wikman M
7 V. Westh M
17 C. McCowatt M
10 Y. Bakiz M
23 T. Adamsen F
Bench (9)
30 A. Andresen
24 A. Madsen
15 M. Jonsson
14 S. Berger
22 R. Al Hajj
11 O. Ross
9 A. Simmelhack
26 M. Oxenberg
27 W. Kirk

Coach: Kent Nielsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

J Hansen · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.