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Superligaen
Referee: M Kristoffersen
Sonderjyske
T T T U T
2–1
Full-time
Silkeborg
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Silkeborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 27%
18%
36%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
68%
55%
Both score Ø 71%
68%
73%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,24 xG 1,85
33% Possession 67%
6 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 10
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sonderjyske 11. · Silkeborg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 22 14 3 5 +15 +4.5 45
2 FC Copenhagen 22 11 8 3 +14 +11.7 41
3 Aarhus 22 9 9 4 +19 +9.8 36
4 Randers FC 22 9 8 5 +11 +10.6 35
5 Nordsjaelland 22 10 5 7 +3 +7.1 35
6 Brondby 22 8 9 5 +10 +6.7 33
7 Silkeborg 22 8 9 5 +9 +4.0 33
8 Viborg 23 8 7 8 +3 -7.0 31
9 Aalborg 23 5 6 12 -22 -19.1 21
10 Lyngby 22 3 9 10 -11 -6.0 18
11 Sonderjyske 22 4 5 13 -25 -14.4 17
12 Vejle 22 3 4 15 -26 -8.1 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sonderjyske Silkeborg
1–0 T. Sommer
M. Dal Hende
5′
6′
Y. Bakiz 1–1
R. Østrøm
2–1 M. Agger
O. Hyseni
44′
Half-time 2–1
A. Oggesen 🔁
↦ T. Klysner
54′
I. Djantou 🔁
↦ O. Hyseni
67′
A. Lyng 🔁
↦ K. Ingason
68′
Rasmus Vinderslev 🟨
72′
74′
🔁 J. Nielsen
↦ J. Gammelby
74′
🔁 A. Simmelhack
↦ M. Larsen
82′
🔁 S. Berger
↦ Y. Bakiz
82′
🔁 O. Boesen
↦ A. Klynge
J. Gallegos 🔁
↦ M. Agger
84′
E. Duru 🔁
↦ L. Björklund
84′
90′
🟨 Jeppe Andersen
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sonderjyske

4-2-3-1
16 M. Bundgaard G
20 T. Klysner D
2 M. Olsen D
4 D. Grétarsson D
5 M. Dal Hende D
26 T. Sommer M
6 R. Vinderslev M
25 M. Agger M
8 L. Björklund M
24 O. Hyseni M
10 K. Ingason F
Bench (9)
22 A. Oggesen
9 I. Djantou
11 A. Lyng
17 J. Gallegos
23 E. Duru
27 B. Pená
28 A. Pedersen
32 S. Maass
31 M. Haidara

Coach: T. Nørgaard

Silkeborg

4-3-2-1
1 N. Larsen G
3 R. Østrøm D
25 P. Rödin D
40 A. Busch D
19 J. Gammelby D
20 M. Larsen M
8 J. Andersen M
21 A. Klynge M
17 C. McCowatt M
10 Y. Bakiz M
23 T. Adamsen F
Bench (9)
36 J. Nielsen
9 A. Simmelhack
14 S. Berger
41 O. Boesen
4 Pedro Ganchas
11 F. Carlsen
30 A. Andrésen
7 R. Orazov
26 M. Øxenberg

Coach: K. Nielsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.