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Superligaen
Referee: Morten Krogh
Aarhus
U S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Brondby
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,62 xG 0,91
54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. May -26 Brondby – Aarhus 0–2 22. Mar -26 Aarhus – Brondby 0–0 19. Oct -25 Brondby – Aarhus 3–3 21. Sep -25 Aarhus – Brondby 1–0 25. May -25 Aarhus – Brondby 2–3

Match report

Aarhus Brondby
19′
🟨 Mats Köhlert
26′
🟨 Bartosz Slisz
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Divkovic
↦ M. Kohlert
52′
⚽ B. Slisz 0–1
L. Binks
56′
🟨 Filip Bundgaard
J. Bogere 🔁
↦ S. Jorgensen
61′
J. Jonsson 🔁
↦ M. Anderson
62′
65′
🔁 M. Jensen
↦ M. Ejdum
65′
🔁 O. Fenger
↦ P. Mortensen
67′
🟨 Marko Divković
73′
🔁 J. Ambaek
↦ F. Bundgaard
R. Carstensen 🔁
↦ F. Emmery
76′
J. Jensen-Abbew 🔁
↦ J. Andersen
76′
81′
🔁 D. Wass
↦ M. Frokjaer-Jensen
Tobias Bech ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
82′
83′
🟨 Luis Binks
1–1 K. Arnstad ⚽
84′
Eric Kahl 🟨
85′
T. Kristjansson 🔁
↦ G. Links
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-4-3
1 J. Hansen G
26 J. Andersen D
5 F. Tingager D
19 E. Kahl D
11 G. Links M
4 M. Knudsen M
10 K. Arnstad M
39 F. Emmery M
8 S. Jorgensen F
31 T. Bech F
23 M. Anderson F
Bench (9)
21 M. Hedenstad
16 J. Jonsson
29 R. Carstensen
40 J. Jensen-Abbew
27 S. Tchamche
22 O. Haugstrup
28 J. Bogere
20 T. Kristjansson
44 M. Camara

Coach: Jakob Poulsen

Brondby

4-2-3-1
50 W. Sonne Schmid G
2 O. Villadsen D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
4 L. Binks D
27 M. Kohlert D
99 B. Slisz M
18 M. Ejdum M
21 M. Younis M
29 M. Frokjaer-Jensen M
11 F. Bundgaard M
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
13 G. Beavers
10 D. Wass
42 M. Jensen
38 J. Ambaek
24 M. Divkovic
32 F. Alves
19 S. Fukuda
51 O. Fenger
37 R. Canut

Coach: Thomas Norgaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Morten Krogh · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.