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Superligaen
Referee: J Maae
Brondby
T T S S T
1–1
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 45%
41%
48%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
45%
62%
Both score Ø 43%
34%
52%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,49 xG 0,91
54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
22 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Brondby 6. · Nordsjaelland 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 29 16 10 3 +37 +8.2 58
2 Aarhus 29 16 10 3 +23 +20.8 58
3 Nordsjaelland 29 14 3 12 +2 -1.7 45
4 FC Copenhagen 29 13 5 11 +14 +22.9 44
5 Viborg 29 13 4 12 +3 -2.6 43
6 Brondby 29 12 5 12 +10 +10.2 41
7 Sonderjyske 29 11 8 10 -2 -5.1 41
8 Odense 29 11 7 11 -7 +3.6 40
9 Silkeborg 29 9 6 14 -20 -19.5 33
10 Randers FC 29 8 7 14 -10 +6.2 31
11 Fredericia 29 8 6 15 -24 -24.5 30
12 Vejle 29 3 9 17 -26 -18.5 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brondby Nordsjaelland
29′
🟨 Prince Amoako Junior
Jordi Vanlerberghe 🟨
32′
39′
ℹ️ Alexander Lind
VAR: Card upgrade
40′
🟥 Alexander Lind
Half-time 0–0
O. Villadsen 🔁
↦ J. Vanlerberghe
46′
60′
P. Amoako 0–1
M. Brink
M. Lahdo 🔁
↦ D. Wass
61′
65′
🔁 L. Sadio
↦ I. Adel
E. Dennis 🔁
↦ S. Fukuda
66′
73′
🔁 N. Markmann
↦ R. Norheim
73′
🔁 L. Nene
↦ P. Amoako
Luis Binks 🟨
79′
V. Poulsen 🔁
↦ M. Frokjaer-Jensen
82′
O. Sow 🔁
↦ J. Ambaek
82′
87′
🔁 V. Gustafsen
↦ J. Lahteenmaki
87′
🔁 M. Heyde
↦ M. Brink
1–1 M. Divkovic
M. Lahdo
89′
Emmanuel Dennis 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brondby

3-4-3
1 P. Pentz G
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
37 R. Canut D
4 L. Binks D
19 S. Fukuda M
99 B. Slisz M
10 D. Wass M
24 M. Divkovic M
29 M. Frokjaer-Jensen F
38 J. Ambaek F
7 N. Vallys F
Bench (9)
13 G. Beavers
5 R. Lauritsen
42 M. Jensen
36 V. Poulsen
22 O. Sow
17 E. Dennis
2 O. Villadsen
8 B. Tahirovic
23 M. Lahdo

Coach: Steven Cooper

Nordsjaelland

3-4-2-1
13 A. Hansen G
2 P. Ankersen D
3 T. Salquist D
36 C. Yirenkyi D
25 J. Lahteenmaki M
18 J. Janssen M
6 M. Brink M
23 R. Norheim M
14 I. Adel F
10 P. Amoako F
11 A. Lind F
Bench (9)
22 A. Gulstorff Pedersen
32 V. Gustafsen
40 H. Rasmussen
35 V. Rutkjaer
29 V. Berthelsen
45 N. Markmann
47 M. Heyde
37 L. Sadio
17 L. Nene

Coach: Jens Olsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Maae · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.