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Allsvenskan

Varberg

S T U

3–1

Full-time

Falkenbergs

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Falkenbergs

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Allsvenskan · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Varberg 10. · Falkenbergs 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	AIK	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Djurgarden	4	2	0	2	+3	6
4	Malmo FF	4	1	3	0	+2	6
5	Elfsborg	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	Kalmar	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Sirius	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Goteborg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Orebro	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Varberg	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Hammarby	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Falkenbergs	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Mjallby	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Hacken	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Ostersunds	4	0	1	3	-6	1
16	Helsingborg	3	0	1	2	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+4	3
4	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Hammarby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Mjallby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Elfsborg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Sirius	3	0	2	1	-2	2
9	Hacken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Goteborg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Falkenbergs	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Orebro	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	AIK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Helsingborg	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Varberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ostersunds	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	AIK	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Varberg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Goteborg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Orebro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Falkenbergs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Kalmar	3	1	0	2	-4	3
11	Malmo FF	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Hacken	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Hammarby	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Mjallby	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Ostersunds	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.