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LaLiga2
Alcorcon
T S T U S
3–2
Full-time
Vallecano
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 30%
31%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
40%
31%
Both score Ø 62%
57%
66%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

5 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
0 Corners 8
18 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alcorcon 12. · Vallecano 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 36 17 11 8 +11 62
2 Zaragoza 35 17 10 8 +14 61
3 Almeria 36 15 12 9 +20 57
4 Huesca 35 16 7 12 +8 55
5 Girona 36 14 10 12 +4 52
6 Elche 36 13 12 11 +7 51
7 Vallecano 35 10 19 6 +8 49
8 Tenerife 36 13 10 13 +5 49
9 Sp Gijon 36 13 10 13 +5 49
10 Mirandes 36 11 16 9 -3 49
11 Ponferradina 36 11 15 10 +3 48
12 Alcorcon 35 11 15 9 +2 48
13 Fuenlabrada 36 11 14 11 +1 47
14 Las Palmas 36 11 14 11 -3 47
15 Malaga 36 9 17 10 +0 44
16 La Coruna 36 10 14 12 -16 44
17 Albacete 36 11 10 15 -12 43
18 Numancia 36 10 11 15 -5 41
19 Oviedo 36 9 14 13 -6 41
20 Lugo 36 8 14 14 -16 38
21 Extremadura UD 36 7 13 16 -15 34
22 Santander 36 4 18 14 -12 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Oct -19 Vallecano – Alcorcon 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,93
U
2,87
B
2,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,41
U2,5
1,54
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.