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Allsvenskan
Referee: M Lindgren
Kalmar
T T S S U
2–1
Full-time
Degerfors
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Degerfors
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,8
This season — Allsvenskan · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 35%
45%
25%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
45%
75%
Both score Ø 61%
55%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,1
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

59% Possession 41%
8 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kalmar 6. · Degerfors 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 11 9 1 1 +19 28
2 Elfsborg 11 8 2 1 +17 26
3 Hacken 12 8 1 3 +18 25
4 Djurgarden 12 6 2 4 +2 20
5 Brommapojkarna 12 6 1 5 +0 19
6 Kalmar 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Norrkoping 11 5 2 4 +3 17
8 Hammarby 13 4 4 5 -4 16
9 Halmstad 11 5 1 5 -5 16
10 Mjallby 11 4 3 4 +0 15
11 Varnamo 11 4 0 7 -4 12
12 Sirius 11 2 5 4 -5 11
13 Degerfors 12 3 2 7 -19 11
14 Goteborg 11 1 4 6 -3 7
15 AIK 11 1 4 6 -7 7
16 Varberg 11 0 5 6 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kalmar Degerfors
1–0 N. Girmai Netabay
S. Skrabb
10′
2–0 D. Hümmet
N. Girmai Netabay
14′
30′
D. Campos 2–1
E. Bouzaiene
Nahom Girmai 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–1
N. Shamoun 🔁
↦ D. Hümmet
58′
62′
🟨 Gustav Lindgren
66′
🔁 P. Gwargis
↦ G. Lindgren
66′
🔁 D. Vukojević
↦ A. Mörfelt
Romário 🔁
↦ A. Lindahl
71′
87′
🔁 D. Pavlović
↦ D. Campos
87′
🔁 K. Mammar
↦ J. Gyau
E. Olsson 🔁
↦ N. Girmai Netabay
89′
92′
🟨 Gustav Granath
Noah Shamoun 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Elyas Bouzaiene
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kalmar

4-2-3-1
1 Ricardo Friedrich G
2 A. Lindahl D
39 L. Sætra D
6 R. Sjöstedt D
3 D. Ólafsson D
13 J. Karlsson M
23 R. Gojani M
22 N. Girmai Netabay M
11 S. Skrabb M
21 D. Hümmet M
9 M. Rajović F
Bench (9)
14 N. Shamoun
29 Romário
28 E. Olsson
19 S. Ylätupa
25 R. Jansson
26 A. Motaraghebjafarpour
18 I. Bjerkebo
30 J. Kindberg
7 K. Jensen

Coach: H. Jensen

Degerfors

3-4-2-1
25 J. Olsson G
2 G. Granath D
15 S. Korač D
7 S. Ohlsson D
20 E. Bouzaiene M
16 R. Örqvist M
11 C. Gravius M
5 J. Gyau M
18 A. Mörfelt F
9 G. Lindgren F
8 D. Campos F
Bench (9)
21 P. Gwargis
10 D. Vukojević
47 D. Pavlović
3 K. Mammar
12 E. Lindell
24 D. Ilunga
22 J. Salmon
6 O. Wallin
1 S. Rossbach

Coach: T. Solberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.