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Allsvenskan
Referee: V Wolf
Norrkoping
T U U T S
1–0
Full-time
Degerfors
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norrkoping Degerfors
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,7
This season — Allsvenskan · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 33%
40%
25%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
67%
75%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
63%
Average goals
2,9
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,38 xG 0,53
64% Possession 36%
33 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 4
10 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norrkoping 6. · Degerfors 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Elfsborg 16 12 3 1 +28 +5.5 39
2 Hacken 17 11 2 4 +23 -0.4 35
3 Malmo FF 15 11 1 3 +21 -0.2 34
4 Djurgarden 17 9 3 5 +3 -1.6 30
5 Halmstad 15 7 3 5 -3 -0.5 24
6 Norrkoping 15 6 4 5 +3 +3.7 22
7 Kalmar 15 6 4 5 -2 -2.3 22
8 Hammarby 17 6 4 7 -4 +0.2 22
9 Brommapojkarna 16 7 1 8 -4 +0.5 22
10 Mjallby 15 5 4 6 -3 -3.9 19
11 Varnamo 16 6 1 9 -4 +0.2 19
12 Sirius 15 4 5 6 -4 -0.3 17
13 Degerfors 16 4 2 10 -24 +0.2 14
14 AIK 15 3 4 8 -6 -0.7 13
15 Goteborg 15 1 6 8 -6 -1.9 9
16 Varberg 15 1 5 9 -18 +1.6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norrkoping Degerfors
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Pavlović
↦ J. Mårtensson
47′
🟨 Pashang Abdulla
62′
🟨 Diego Campos
K. Khazeni 🔁
↦ V. Hammershøy-Mistrati
67′
Y. Kalley 🔁
↦ M. Baggesen
67′
72′
🟨 Rasmus Örqvist
M. Sema 🔁
↦ L. Shabani
76′
80′
🔁 K. Mammar
↦ E. Bouzaiene
83′
🟨 Christos Gravius
N. Gunnarsson 🔁
↦ A. Eriksson
86′
A. Guðjohnsen 🔁
↦ V. Lind
86′
1–0 M. Sema
92′
Christoffer Nyman 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Norrkoping

4-2-3-1
1 O. Jansson G
20 D. Eid D
4 M. Lund D
24 A. Eriksson D
3 M. Baggesen D
7 J. Ortmark M
9 A. Traustason M
17 L. Shabani M
10 V. Hammershøy-Mistrati M
19 V. Lind M
5 C. Nyman F
Bench (9)
26 K. Khazeni
14 Y. Kalley
23 M. Sema
2 N. Gunnarsson
22 A. Guðjohnsen
21 J. Ceesay
28 F. Hellichius
18 A. Skúlason
32 W. Jakobsson

Coach: G. Riddersholm

Degerfors

5-3-2
1 S. Rossbach G
20 E. Bouzaiene D
2 G. Granath D
29 D. Bergqvist D
7 S. Ohlsson D
5 J. Gyau D
16 R. Örqvist M
4 J. Mårtensson M
11 C. Gravius M
13 Pashang Abdulla F
8 D. Campos F
Bench (9)
47 D. Pavlović
3 K. Mammar
6 O. Wallin
9 G. Lindgren
22 J. Salmon
15 S. Korač
18 A. Mörfelt
25 J. Olsson
21 P. Gwargis

Coach: T. Solberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Wolf · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.