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Allsvenskan

Referee: O Johnson

Norrkoping

S T T U T

0–4

Full-time

Varnamo

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norrkoping Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

30%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

70%

50%

Both score Ø 65%

80%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

12 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norrkoping 14. · Varnamo 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	11	9	1	1	+24	+12.5	28
2	Djurgarden	11	8	1	2	+16	+0.8	25
3	GAIS	11	7	0	4	+3	-0.3	21
4	Hammarby	11	6	0	5	+3	+1.2	18
5	Mjallby	11	5	2	4	+5	+1.0	17
6	Hacken	11	5	2	4	+0	-2.2	17
7	Elfsborg	11	5	1	5	+3	+2.6	16
8	Halmstad	11	5	0	6	-6	-4.1	15
9	Brommapojkarna	11	3	5	3	-2	+2.3	14
10	AIK	10	4	2	4	-4	-2.5	14
11	Sirius	11	3	3	5	-5	+1.4	12
12	Goteborg	10	3	2	5	-4	-1.7	11
13	Varnamo	10	3	2	5	-7	-4.8	11
14	Norrkoping	10	3	2	5	-9	-3.6	11
15	Kalmar	11	3	1	7	-7	-5.0	10
16	Vasteras SK	11	1	2	8	-10	+2.3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	5	5	0	0	+14	+5.5	15
2	Hammarby	6	5	0	1	+9	+1.2	15
3	GAIS	6	5	0	1	+4	+1.0	15
4	Elfsborg	6	4	1	1	+10	+2.4	13
5	Djurgarden	6	4	1	1	+6	-2.1	13
6	AIK	5	4	0	1	+7	-0.3	12
7	Mjallby	6	3	2	1	+5	+0.7	11
8	Hacken	6	3	1	2	+2	-1.4	10
9	Halmstad	5	3	0	2	+1	-0.2	9
10	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	-2	-3.2	6
11	Sirius	5	1	2	2	-1	+1.5	5
12	Brommapojkarna	5	1	2	2	-7	-0.1	5
13	Kalmar	5	1	1	3	+0	-1.4	4
14	Vasteras SK	6	1	1	4	-5	+1.9	4
15	Goteborg	5	1	1	3	-6	-3.6	4
16	Varnamo	5	0	1	4	-9	-2.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	6	4	1	1	+10	+7.0	13
2	Djurgarden	5	4	0	1	+10	+2.8	12
3	Varnamo	5	3	1	1	+2	-2.4	10
4	Brommapojkarna	6	2	3	1	+5	+2.4	9
5	Goteborg	5	2	1	2	+2	+1.9	7
6	Hacken	5	2	1	2	-2	-0.7	7
7	Sirius	6	2	1	3	-4	-0.0	7
8	Mjallby	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.3	6
9	GAIS	5	2	0	3	-1	-1.3	6
10	Kalmar	6	2	0	4	-7	-3.7	6
11	Halmstad	6	2	0	4	-7	-3.9	6
12	Norrkoping	6	1	2	3	-7	-0.3	5
13	Hammarby	5	1	0	4	-6	–	3
14	Elfsborg	5	1	0	4	-7	+0.2	3
15	AIK	5	0	2	3	-11	-2.2	2
16	Vasteras SK	5	0	1	4	-5	+0.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.