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Allsvenskan

Referee: F Klitte

Norrkoping

T T T U S

2–0

Full-time

Varnamo

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norrkoping Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 19%

17%

20%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

50%

40%

Both score Ø 54%

67%

40%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,4

This season — Allsvenskan · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

19 Shots 18

8 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 10

12 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norrkoping 13. · Varnamo 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Mjallby	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	AIK	6	4	0	2	+0	12
4	Malmo FF	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Hacken	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Elfsborg	6	3	1	2	+8	10
7	Djurgarden	6	3	1	2	+5	10
8	Goteborg	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Varberg	6	2	1	3	-3	7
10	Sirius	6	2	1	3	-8	7
11	Kalmar	5	2	0	3	+2	6
12	Varnamo	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Norrkoping	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Helsingborg	6	1	1	4	-3	4
15	Sundsvall	6	1	0	5	-10	3
16	Degerfors	6	0	0	6	-14	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Mjallby	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	AIK	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Elfsborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Hacken	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Sirius	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Varnamo	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Goteborg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Helsingborg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Varberg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Kalmar	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Sundsvall	3	1	0	2	-5	3
15	Norrkoping	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Degerfors	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Hacken	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	+5	4
5	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Mjallby	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Norrkoping	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	Varberg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	AIK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Djurgarden	3	0	1	2	-2	1
12	Sirius	3	0	1	2	-7	1
13	Helsingborg	3	0	0	3	-3	0
14	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-4	0
15	Sundsvall	3	0	0	3	-5	0
16	Degerfors	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.