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Allsvenskan

Referee: Glenn Nyberg

Orgryte

T T U T T

2–3

Full-time

Goteborg

U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Orgryte Goteborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

2,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 7%

14%

Points per game

0,7

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

43%

29%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

0,9

0,6

Conceded

2,6

2,1

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,69 xG 2,30

46% Possession 54%

11 Shots 25

2 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Orgryte 14. · Goteborg 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	8	7	1	0	+13	+7.7	22
2	Hammarby	8	5	2	1	+15	+7.6	17
3	Hacken	8	4	4	0	+5	+3.3	16
4	Elfsborg	8	4	3	1	+5	+1.8	15
5	Djurgarden	8	4	1	3	+7	+3.3	13
6	Mjallby	8	4	1	3	+3	-1.9	13
7	Brommapojkarna	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.1	11
8	Malmo FF	8	3	1	4	-2	-2.2	10
9	GAIS	8	2	3	3	+1	+0.4	9
10	AIK	8	2	3	3	-2	-3.7	9
11	Degerfors	8	2	3	3	-3	-2.1	9
12	Vasteras SK	8	2	3	3	-5	-5.2	9
13	Kalmar	8	2	1	5	-2	+2.6	7
14	Orgryte	7	1	2	4	-12	-4.3	5
15	Halmstad	8	0	3	5	-10	-3.4	3
16	Goteborg	7	0	3	4	-11	-2.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	5	4	1	0	+16	+7.0	13
2	Sirius	4	4	0	0	+8	+5.9	12
3	Elfsborg	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.4	10
4	Hacken	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.3	8
5	Djurgarden	5	2	1	2	+5	+1.2	7
6	Kalmar	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.1	7
7	Mjallby	4	2	0	2	+2	-1.1	6
8	AIK	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.1	6
9	GAIS	4	1	2	1	+3	-0.1	5
10	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
11	Degerfors	5	1	1	3	-6	-2.4	4
12	Malmo FF	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.3	3
13	Vasteras SK	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.3	3
14	Orgryte	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.2	2
15	Halmstad	4	0	2	2	-5	-2.2	2
16	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
2	Hacken	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.0	8
3	Mjallby	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.8	7
4	Brommapojkarna	5	2	1	2	-2	+0.7	7
5	Malmo FF	5	2	1	2	-2	-3.5	7
6	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.1	6
7	Vasteras SK	4	2	0	2	-4	-4.9	6
8	Degerfors	3	1	2	0	+3	+0.3	5
9	Elfsborg	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.4	5
10	Hammarby	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.5	4
11	GAIS	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.6	4
12	AIK	4	0	3	1	-1	-1.5	3
13	Orgryte	4	1	0	3	-11	-5.5	3
14	Goteborg	4	0	2	2	-8	-2.7	2
15	Halmstad	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.1	1
16	Kalmar	4	0	0	4	-4	+1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.