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Allsvenskan

Referee: Adi Aganovic

Orgryte

U U S T T

1–1

Full-time

Degerfors

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Orgryte Degerfors

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,89 xG 0,67

55% Possession 45%

12 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 0

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Orgryte 12. · Degerfors 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	4	4	0	0	+9	+5.1	12
2	Elfsborg	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.8	10
3	Hammarby	5	2	2	1	+8	+3.0	8
4	Hacken	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.8	8
5	Vasteras SK	5	2	2	1	-1	-4.3	8
6	Malmo FF	4	2	1	1	+2	–	7
7	AIK	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.4	7
8	Djurgarden	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.1	7
9	Degerfors	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.2	6
10	Brommapojkarna	5	1	2	2	-3	+0.3	5
11	Mjallby	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.4	4
12	Orgryte	4	1	1	2	-6	-3.7	4
13	Goteborg	5	0	3	2	-4	-0.9	3
14	GAIS	5	0	2	3	-4	+0.1	2
15	Halmstad	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.4	2
16	Kalmar	4	0	1	3	-3	–	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	3	2	1	0	+10	+2.9	7
2	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.3	6
3	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.4	6
4	AIK	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
5	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
6	Djurgarden	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.1	4
7	Malmo FF	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
8	Mjallby	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.4	3
9	Degerfors	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.2	3
10	Vasteras SK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.9	2
11	Brommapojkarna	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
12	Orgryte	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.0	1
13	Kalmar	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
14	GAIS	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
15	Goteborg	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
16	Halmstad	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
2	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	-1	-3.4	6
3	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.5	4
4	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
5	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
6	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.2	4
7	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
8	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
9	Orgryte	2	1	0	1	-5	-3.6	3
10	Goteborg	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.4	2
11	AIK	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
12	Halmstad	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
13	Hammarby	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.1	1
14	GAIS	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.1	1
15	Mjallby	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
16	Kalmar	2	0	0	2	-2	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.