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Allsvenskan
Referee: Fredrik Klitte
AIK
U S T S S
2–0
Full-time
GAIS
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK GAIS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 40%
42%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
67%
46%
Both score Ø 61%
75%
46%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,92 xG 1,24
54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
10 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AIK 9. · GAIS 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 12 10 2 0 +18 +8.2 32
2 Hammarby 13 7 2 4 +14 +8.9 23
3 Hacken 12 5 5 2 +3 +3.8 20
4 Djurgarden 11 6 1 4 +11 +5.1 19
5 GAIS 13 5 4 4 +6 +2.8 19
6 Malmo FF 12 6 1 5 +5 +3.6 19
7 Vasteras SK 13 5 4 4 -1 -3.0 19
8 Elfsborg 13 4 6 3 +3 +0.5 18
9 AIK 12 5 3 4 -2 -8.1 18
10 Mjallby 13 4 5 4 +2 +2.8 17
11 Brommapojkarna 13 4 4 5 -3 -6.0 16
12 Kalmar 12 4 1 7 -3 +2.3 13
13 Goteborg 13 3 4 6 -13 +1.7 13
14 Degerfors 12 2 4 6 -7 -6.1 10
15 Orgryte 12 2 3 7 -17 -6.4 9
16 Halmstad 12 1 3 8 -16 -10.0 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AIK GAIS
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Ayari
K. Filling
49′
57′
🔁 M. Andersson
↦ H. Sletsjoe
2–0 K. Filling
L. Bergquist
58′
62′
🔁 D. Collander
↦ W. Milovanovic
62′
🔁 N. Vasic
↦ S. Salter
63′
🔁 M. de Brienne
↦ R. Wendin Thomasson
H. Matthys 🔁
↦ F. Nissen
72′
A. Faqa 🔁
↦ L. Bergquist
72′
75′
🟨 Filip Beckman
V. Andersson 🔁
↦ K. Filling
77′
80′
🔁 O. Pettersson
↦ R. Niklasson
L. Jareteg 🔁
↦ A. Kouame
87′
A. Ali 🔁
↦ A. Mujanic
87′
91′
🟨 Robin Frej
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

AIK

4-3-1-2
15 K. Nordfeldt G
17 M. Thychosen D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
14 F. Nissen D
5 L. Bergquist D
8 J. Hove M
19 D. Besirovic M
7 A. Mujanic M
45 T. Ayari M
48 A. Kouame F
29 K. Filling F
Bench (9)
30 K. Joelsson
3 H. Matthys
37 A. Faqa
22 A. Helm
43 N. Staykov
28 L. Jareteg
11 V. Andersson
18 A. Ali
41 M. Shilla

Coach: Jose Riveiro

GAIS

4-3-3
1 M. Krasniqi G
6 A. Wangberg D
12 R. Frej D
24 F. Beckman D
5 R. Wendin Thomasson D
8 W. Milovanovic M
7 J. Fagerjord M
10 H. Sletsjoe M
17 R. Thorkelsson F
20 S. Salter F
11 R. Niklasson F
Bench (9)
13 K. Sims
34 D. Collander
2 M. de Brienne
22 A. Cardaklija
28 L. Hedlund
21 N. Vasic
32 O. Pettersson
16 M. Andersson
14 S. Jorgensen

Coach: Fredrik Holmberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Fredrik Klitte · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.