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Allsvenskan
Referee: Adi Aganovic
Vasteras SK
T U S T T
1–1
Full-time
AIK
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vasteras SK AIK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,81 xG 0,69
58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vasteras SK 12. · AIK 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 7 6 1 0 +12 +7.7 19
2 Hammarby 8 5 2 1 +15 +7.6 17
3 Elfsborg 8 4 3 1 +5 +1.8 15
4 Djurgarden 7 4 1 2 +8 +3.3 13
5 Hacken 7 3 4 0 +4 +2.6 13
6 Mjallby 7 4 1 2 +4 -1.2 13
7 Brommapojkarna 8 3 2 3 -2 -1.1 11
8 Malmo FF 8 3 1 4 -2 -2.2 10
9 GAIS 8 2 3 3 +1 +0.4 9
10 Degerfors 8 2 3 3 -3 -2.1 9
11 AIK 7 2 2 3 -2 -2.5 8
12 Vasteras SK 7 2 2 3 -5 -6.3 8
13 Kalmar 8 2 1 5 -2 +2.6 7
14 Orgryte 7 1 2 4 -12 -4.3 5
15 Halmstad 8 0 3 5 -10 -3.4 3
16 Goteborg 7 0 3 4 -11 -2.7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vasteras SK AIK
10′
🟨 Taha Ayari
15′
🟨 Kevin Filling
20′
🟨 Ibrahim Cissé
V. Wernersson 🔁
↦ F. Nsabiyumva
21′
1–0 M. Baggesen
K. Gunnarsson
45′
45′
A. Csongvai 1–1
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 E. Flataker
↦ K. Filling
59′
🔁 A. Mujanic
↦ A. Ali
Jens Magnusson 🟨
62′
J. Karlsson 🔁
↦ M. Baggesen
66′
J. Ring 🔁
↦ M. Hellisdal
67′
Victor Wernersson 🟨
69′
70′
🔁 L. Bergquist
↦ S. Wilson
76′
🟨 Yannick Geiger
77′
🔁 A. Faqa
↦ Y. Geiger
78′
🔁 S. Gustafsson
↦ T. Ayari
89′
🟨 Dino Beširović
M. Ljungqvist 🔁
↦ K. Gunnarsson
94′
L. Sibelius 🔁
↦ J. Magnusson
94′
98′
🟨 Amel Mujanić
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vasteras SK

3-4-3
34 E. Jager G
2 H. Magnusson D
18 F. Nsabiyumva D
4 P. Bonde D
11 S. Gefvert M
30 M. Hellisdal M
8 M. Diagne M
3 M. Baggesen M
19 J. Magnusson F
9 M. Ladefoged F
5 K. Gunnarsson F
Bench (9)
1 A. Fagerstrom
15 J. Karlsson
17 T. Axel
20 M. Ljungqvist
10 J. Ring
21 V. Wernersson
23 L. Sibelius
22 L. Bark
32 M. Abdi

Coach: Alexander Rubin

AIK

4-1-4-1
15 K. Nordfeldt G
17 M. Thychosen D
33 A. Csongvai D
25 I. Cisse D
21 S. Wilson D
46 Y. Geiger M
45 T. Ayari M
19 D. Besirovic M
18 A. Ali M
10 B. Celina M
29 K. Filling F
Bench (9)
30 K. Joelsson
5 L. Bergquist
9 E. Flataker
37 A. Faqa
16 S. Gustafsson
28 L. Jareteg
7 A. Mujanic
11 V. Andersson
48 A. Kouame

Coach: Jose Riveiro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adi Aganovic · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.