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Championship
Referee: B Toner
Huddersfield
U T U T S
1–2
Full-time
Middlesbrough
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 32%
21%
42%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
46%
54%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,78 xG 1,43
43% Possession 57%
16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huddersfield 21. · Middlesbrough 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 24 19 2 3 +31 +20.6 59
2 Ipswich 24 16 5 3 +15 +11.1 53
3 Southampton 24 14 6 4 +14 +16.0 48
4 Leeds 23 12 6 5 +17 +18.9 42
5 West Brom 23 11 6 6 +13 +3.5 39
6 Sunderland 24 11 3 10 +6 +14.2 36
7 Hull 24 10 6 8 +5 +6.4 36
8 Bristol City 24 10 5 9 +3 +1.9 35
9 Preston 24 10 5 9 -10 -10.3 35
10 Watford 24 9 7 8 +6 +3.6 34
11 Norwich 23 10 4 9 +2 -2.7 34
12 Cardiff 24 10 4 10 +2 -7.1 34
13 Coventry 24 8 9 7 +8 +4.2 33
14 Middlesbrough 24 10 3 11 +0 +12.0 33
15 Blackburn 24 10 1 13 -8 -2.8 31
16 Plymouth 25 7 7 11 -2 -12.8 28
17 Swansea 24 7 7 10 -5 -7.4 28
18 Stoke 24 7 6 11 -7 -1.7 27
19 Birmingham 24 7 6 11 -8 -3.4 27
20 Millwall 24 6 8 10 -5 -7.2 26
21 Huddersfield 24 5 10 9 -14 -12.9 25
22 QPR 24 5 5 14 -15 -10.6 20
23 Sheffield Weds 24 4 4 16 -22 -4.8 16
24 Rotherham 24 3 7 14 -26 -28.7 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Middlesbrough
32′
🟨 Morgan Rogers
R. Edmonds-Green 🔁
↦ J. Hogg
38′
Half-time 0–0
49′
🔁 J. Coburn
↦ A. Dijksteel
54′
J. Coburn 0–1
M. Rogers
1–1 M. Helik
60′
65′
🔁 M. Clarke
↦ S. Greenwood
69′
🟨 Alex Bangura
78′
🔁 R. McGree
↦ S. Silvera
78′
🔁 L. Engel
↦ A. Bangura
84′
J. Howson 1–2
M. Clarke
K. Hudlin 🔁
↦ Y. Nakayama
87′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Huddersfield

3-5-2
31 J. Chapman G
32 T. Lees D
5 M. Helik D
33 Y. Nakayama D
18 D. Kasumu M
23 B. Wiles M
6 J. Hogg M
8 J. Rudoni M
15 J. Headley M
14 S. Thomas F
10 J. Koroma F
Bench (9)
2 R. Edmonds-Green
27 K. Hudlin
42 M. Stone
39 T. Iorpenda
41 G. Bellagambi
36 J. Austerfield
43 C. Falls
11 B. Diarra
37 L. Ayina

Coach: D. Moore

Middlesbrough

4-2-3-1
23 T. Glover G
15 A. Dijksteel D
6 D. Fry D
3 R. van den Berg D
24 A. Bangura D
16 J. Howson M
4 D. Barlaser M
11 I. Jones M
10 M. Rogers M
29 S. Greenwood M
18 S. Silvera F
Bench (9)
19 J. Coburn
5 M. Clarke
8 R. McGree
27 L. Engel
52 A. Bridge
22 H. Coulson
48 C. Kavanagh
32 J. Jones
14 A. Gilbert

Coach: M. Carrick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,40
U
3,75
B ✓
1,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Toner · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.