Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lechia Gdansk
Slask Wroclaw
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rakow
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 |
Legia
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 3 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |
Zaglebie
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 |
Cracovia
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |
Jagiellonia
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 |
Wisla
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |
Warta Poznan
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |
Lech Poznan
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 |
Wisla Plock
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |
Podbeskidzie
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 6 |
| 15 |
Stal Mielec
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 16 |
Piast Gliwice
|
8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Wisla
Lechia Gdansk
Zaglebie
Lechia Gdansk
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
Lechia Gdansk
Podbeskidzie
Lechia Gdansk
Stal Mielec
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.