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Ligue 1
Referee: K Abed
Rennes
U U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Bordeaux
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
50%
30%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
80%
20%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 3. · Bordeaux 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 8 0 2 +23 24
2 Lille 10 5 4 1 +10 19
3 Rennes 10 5 3 2 +4 18
4 Marseille 9 5 3 1 +4 18
5 Lyon 10 4 5 1 +7 17
6 Monaco 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 Montpellier 10 5 2 3 +3 17
8 Nice 10 5 2 3 +3 17
9 Angers 10 5 1 4 -5 16
10 Metz 10 4 3 3 +3 15
11 Lens 8 4 2 2 +0 14
12 Bordeaux 10 3 3 4 -2 12
13 Brest 10 4 0 6 -7 12
14 Nantes 9 3 2 4 -2 11
15 St Etienne 10 3 1 6 -5 10
16 Reims 10 2 3 5 -2 9
17 Lorient 10 2 2 6 -5 8
18 Nimes 10 2 2 6 -9 8
19 Strasbourg 10 2 0 8 -9 6
20 Dijon 10 0 4 6 -14 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Bordeaux
37′
H. Ben Arfa 0–1
S. Kalu
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Samuel Kalu
J. Doku 🔁
↦ R. Del Castillo
58′
A. Hunou 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
58′
H. Traoré 🔁
↦ B. Soppy
59′
59′
🔁 J. Briand
↦ J. Maja
59′
🔁 R. Oudin
↦ S. Kalu
60′
🔁 A. Traore
↦ M. Zerkane
66′
🟨 Enock Kwateng
Flavien Tait 🟨
69′
Y. Gboho 🔁
↦ F. Tait
70′
Adrien Truffert 🟨
71′
76′
🔁 Y. Adli
↦ H. Ben Arfa
M. Niang 🔁
↦ S. Guirassy
77′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-2-3-1
16 A. Gomis G
3 D. Da Silva D
6 N. Aguerd D
34 B. Soppy D
31 A. Truffert D
20 F. Tait M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
7 M. Terrier M
10 E. Camavinga M
9 S. Guirassy F
22 R. Del Castillo M
Bench (9)
18 J. Doku
23 A. Hunou
27 H. Traoré
19 Y. Gboho
11 M. Niang
4 G. Nyamsi
1 R. Salin
15 S. Nzonzi
12 J. Lea Siliki

Coach: J. Stéphan

Bordeaux

4-2-3-1
1 B. Costil G
24 P. Baysse D
6 L. Koscielny D
20 Y. Sabaly D
25 E. Kwateng D
8 H. Ben Arfa M
5 Otávio M
26 T. Bašić M
17 M. Zerkane M
10 S. Kalu M
9 J. Maja F
Bench (9)
7 J. Briand
28 R. Oudin
31 A. Traore
19 Y. Adli
32 D. Bakwa
23 L. Benito
12 N. de Préville
16 G. Poussin
14 V. Jovanović

Coach: J. Gasset

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,81
U
3,48
B ✓
4,78
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.