Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Legia
Stal Mielec
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Legia
|
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 29 |
| 2 |
Rakow
|
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +11 | 25 |
| 4 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 23 |
| 6 |
Zaglebie
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 22 |
| 7 |
Cracovia
|
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 |
Lech Poznan
|
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |
Jagiellonia
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |
Wisla Plock
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |
Piast Gliwice
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 |
Warta Poznan
|
14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 |
Wisla
|
13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 |
Stal Mielec
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 10 |
| 16 |
Podbeskidzie
|
14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -25 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Wisla
Legia
Legia
Lechia Gdansk
Legia
Piast Gliwice
Cracovia
Legia
Legia
Lech Poznan
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.