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Bundesliga

Referee: H Osmers

Union Berlin

S U T U U

2–1

Full-time

Dortmund

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

4,0

4,3

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

33%

58%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,4

Scored

2,1

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

29% Possession 71%

12 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 6. · Dortmund 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	12	8	4	0	+17	28
2	Bayern Munich	12	8	3	1	+19	27
3	RB Leipzig	12	8	3	1	+15	27
4	Dortmund	12	7	1	4	+9	22
5	Wolfsburg	12	5	6	1	+6	21
6	Union Berlin	12	4	6	2	+8	18
7	Stuttgart	12	4	6	2	+7	18
8	M'gladbach	12	4	6	2	+3	18
9	Augsburg	12	4	4	4	-2	16
10	Ein Frankfurt	12	2	8	2	-3	14
11	Freiburg	12	3	5	4	-6	14
12	Hertha	12	3	4	5	-1	13
13	Hoffenheim	12	3	3	6	-3	12
14	Werder Bremen	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	FC Koln	12	2	4	6	-8	10
16	Bielefeld	12	2	1	9	-15	7
17	Mainz	12	1	3	8	-13	6
18	Schalke 04	12	0	4	8	-27	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	6	6	0	0	+13	18
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	+15	14
3	Wolfsburg	6	4	2	0	+5	14
4	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	M'gladbach	6	2	4	0	+4	10
6	Union Berlin	6	2	3	1	+7	9
7	Dortmund	6	3	0	3	+4	9
8	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	5	0	+1	8
9	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Hoffenheim	6	2	1	3	+1	7
11	Freiburg	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Bielefeld	6	2	0	4	-5	6
13	Werder Bremen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Hertha	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Stuttgart	6	0	4	2	-3	4
16	Mainz	6	0	2	4	-6	2
17	FC Koln	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	Schalke 04	6	0	2	4	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	Stuttgart	6	4	2	0	+10	14
3	Dortmund	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	RB Leipzig	6	2	3	1	+2	9
6	Union Berlin	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Hertha	6	2	2	2	+4	8
8	FC Koln	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	M'gladbach	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Freiburg	6	2	2	2	-4	8
12	Wolfsburg	6	1	4	1	+1	7
13	Werder Bremen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	3	2	-4	6
15	Hoffenheim	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Mainz	6	1	1	4	-7	4
17	Schalke 04	6	0	2	4	-18	2
18	Bielefeld	6	0	1	5	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.