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Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice
S U S S U
0–1
Full-time
Warta Poznan
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Warta Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 32%
29%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
41%
41%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
41%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Piast Gliwice 13. · Warta Poznan 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 18 11 3 4 +12 36
2 Pogon Szczecin 18 10 5 3 +13 35
3 Rakow 18 9 4 5 +9 31
4 Gornik Zabrze 18 8 3 7 +2 27
5 Lechia Gdansk 18 8 2 8 +2 26
6 Slask Wroclaw 18 7 4 7 +3 25
7 Jagiellonia 18 7 4 7 -2 25
8 Zaglebie 18 6 5 7 -1 23
9 Cracovia 18 5 8 5 -1 23
10 Lech Poznan 18 5 7 6 +1 22
11 Wisla Plock 17 6 4 7 -3 22
12 Wisla 18 5 6 7 +2 21
13 Piast Gliwice 17 5 6 6 +2 21
14 Warta Poznan 17 6 2 9 -4 20
15 Podbeskidzie 18 4 5 9 -23 17
16 Stal Mielec 17 3 6 8 -12 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.