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Primeira Liga

Referee: Vitor Ferreira

Maritimo

T T T T T

1–2

Full-time

Porto

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 45%

26%

63%

Points per game

0,9

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 58%

58%

Average goals

2,4

3,4

Scored

0,9

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

27% Possession 73%

12 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 3

21 Free kicks against 18

6 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Maritimo 18. · Porto 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	20	17	3	0	+32	54
2	Sp Braga	20	14	1	5	+17	43
3	Porto	19	12	5	2	+22	41
4	Benfica	20	11	6	3	+16	39
5	Pacos Ferreira	20	11	5	4	+11	38
6	Guimaraes	20	9	5	6	+4	32
7	Santa Clara	20	7	4	9	-3	25
8	Moreirense	20	6	7	7	-6	25
9	Rio Ave	20	5	7	8	-7	22
10	Belenenses	20	4	9	7	-5	21
11	Nacional	20	5	6	9	-7	21
12	Tondela	20	6	3	11	-13	21
13	Portimonense	20	5	4	11	-8	19
14	Gil Vicente	20	5	4	11	-10	19
15	Farense	20	4	6	10	-7	18
16	Boavista	20	3	9	8	-12	18
17	Famalicao	20	4	6	10	-14	18
18	Maritimo	19	5	2	12	-10	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	10	8	2	0	+15	26
2	Sp Braga	10	8	1	1	+10	25
3	Porto	10	7	2	1	+12	23
4	Benfica	10	7	2	1	+10	23
5	Pacos Ferreira	10	7	2	1	+8	23
6	Tondela	10	6	2	2	+3	20
7	Portimonense	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Belenenses	11	3	5	3	+0	14
9	Moreirense	10	3	5	2	-1	14
10	Farense	11	3	4	4	+1	13
11	Guimaraes	10	4	1	5	-4	13
12	Rio Ave	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Nacional	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Gil Vicente	10	3	2	5	-2	11
15	Santa Clara	9	2	2	5	-4	8
16	Maritimo	9	2	2	5	-6	8
17	Boavista	10	2	2	6	-9	8
18	Famalicao	10	1	4	5	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	10	9	1	0	+17	28
2	Guimaraes	10	5	4	1	+8	19
3	Porto	9	5	3	1	+10	18
4	Sp Braga	10	6	0	4	+7	18
5	Santa Clara	11	5	2	4	+1	17
6	Benfica	10	4	4	2	+6	16
7	Pacos Ferreira	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	Famalicao	10	3	2	5	-4	11
9	Moreirense	10	3	2	5	-5	11
10	Boavista	10	1	7	2	-3	10
11	Rio Ave	10	2	4	4	-6	10
12	Maritimo	10	3	0	7	-4	9
13	Nacional	10	2	3	5	-5	9
14	Gil Vicente	10	2	2	6	-8	8
15	Belenenses	9	1	4	4	-5	7
16	Farense	9	1	2	6	-8	5
17	Portimonense	11	1	2	8	-11	5
18	Tondela	10	0	1	9	-16	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.