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Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
T S U S S
1–3
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 3. · Gornik Zabrze 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 4 3 1 0 +6 10
2 Lechia Gdansk 4 2 2 0 +4 8
3 Jagiellonia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Pogon Szczecin 4 2 1 1 +1 7
5 Piast Gliwice 4 2 0 2 +1 6
6 Zaglebie 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Slask Wroclaw 4 1 3 0 +1 6
8 Legia 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Rakow 3 2 0 1 -1 6
10 Warta Poznan 4 1 2 1 +2 5
11 Wisla 4 1 1 2 +1 4
12 Radomiak Radom 3 1 1 1 +1 4
13 Stal Mielec 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Wisla Plock 4 1 0 3 -2 3
15 Gornik Zabrze 3 1 0 2 -3 3
16 Nieciecza 4 0 2 2 -3 2
17 Leczna 4 0 2 2 -6 2
18 Cracovia 4 0 1 3 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.