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Primeira Liga

Referee: Cláudio Pereira

Belenenses

S S T T T

1–2

Full-time

Maritimo

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Belenenses Maritimo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

0,7

0,5

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

44% Possession 56%

5 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

22 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Belenenses 15. · Maritimo 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Gil Vicente	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Porto	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Estoril	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Tondela	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Boavista	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Pacos Ferreira	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Vizela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Famalicao	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Arouca	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.