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Ekstraklasa
Cracovia
U S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Rakow
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Ekstraklasa · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 42%
29%
54%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
57%
77%
Both score Ø 67%
71%
62%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Cracovia 12. · Rakow 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 15 9 5 1 +21 32
2 Lechia Gdansk 15 8 6 1 +14 30
3 Pogon Szczecin 15 8 5 2 +13 29
4 Rakow 13 7 5 1 +8 26
5 Radomiak Radom 15 6 7 2 +7 25
6 Slask Wroclaw 15 5 6 4 +4 21
7 Jagiellonia 15 5 6 4 -1 21
8 Stal Mielec 15 5 6 4 -1 21
9 Wisla Plock 15 6 2 7 +1 20
10 Piast Gliwice 15 5 3 7 +0 18
11 Gornik Zabrze 14 5 3 6 -2 18
12 Cracovia 14 4 5 5 -2 17
13 Zaglebie 14 5 2 7 -7 17
14 Wisla 15 5 2 8 -10 17
15 Nieciecza 14 2 6 6 -5 12
16 Warta Poznan 15 2 5 8 -9 11
17 Legia 13 3 0 10 -11 9
18 Leczna 15 1 6 8 -20 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.