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Ekstraklasa
Cracovia
S S U U S
3–3
Full-time
Stal Mielec
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Stal Mielec
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 61%
78%
44%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Cracovia 10. · Stal Mielec 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 9 5 3 1 +12 18
2 Slask Wroclaw 9 4 5 0 +6 17
3 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 4 1 +7 16
4 Pogon Szczecin 9 4 4 1 +5 16
5 Rakow 8 4 3 1 +3 15
6 Jagiellonia 10 4 3 3 +0 15
7 Zaglebie 9 5 0 4 -2 15
8 Piast Gliwice 10 4 1 5 -1 13
9 Radomiak Radom 10 2 6 2 +1 12
10 Cracovia 9 3 3 3 -2 12
11 Wisla 10 3 2 5 -3 11
12 Stal Mielec 9 3 2 4 -5 11
13 Wisla Plock 9 3 1 5 +2 10
14 Gornik Zabrze 8 3 1 4 -3 10
15 Legia 7 3 0 4 +0 9
16 Warta Poznan 9 1 4 4 -2 7
17 Nieciecza 9 1 4 4 -3 7
18 Leczna 9 1 2 6 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.