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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Urban
Jagiellonia
U U U S S
0–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Widzew Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
22 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
10 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
0 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Jagiellonia 2. · Widzew Lodz 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Stal Mielec 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Cracovia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Pogon Szczecin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Korona Kielce 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Legia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Radomiak Radom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Legnica 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Zaglebie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Widzew Lodz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Piast Gliwice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Gornik Zabrze 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Warta Poznan 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jagiellonia Widzew Lodz
Tomas Prikryl 🟨
8′
Half-time 0–0
M. Kowalski 🔁
↦ B. Bida
63′
63′
🔁 Jordi Sánchez
↦ E. Terpiłowski
63′
🔁 M. Kreuzriegler
↦ B. Czorbadżijski
66′
🔁 J. Shehu
↦ K. Danielak
A. Trubeha 🔁
↦ Marc Gual
70′
72′
B. Pawłowski 0–1
F. Černych 🔁
↦ Nené
81′
81′
🔁 K. Hansen
↦ B. Pawłowski
81′
🔁 P. Zieliński
↦ J. Letniowski
83′
🟨 Kristoffer Normann Hansen
84′
Jordi Sánchez 0–2
D. Kun
87′
🟨 Dominik Kun
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

3-4-3
1 Z. Alomerović G
25 B. Țîru D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
2 M. Pazdan D
27 B. Wdowik M
26 M. Pospíšil M
8 Nené M
14 T. Přikryl M
11 Jesús Imaz F
9 B. Bida F
28 Marc Gual F
Bench (9)
60 M. Kowalski
74 A. Trubeha
10 F. Černych
77 W. Łaski
22 O. Wojciechowski
19 P. Olszewski
36 J. Lewicki
50 S. Abramowicz
4 Israel Puerto

Coach: M. Stolarczyk

Widzew Lodz

3-4-3
26 H. Ravas G
95 P. Stępiński D
3 B. Czorbadżijski D
4 M. Żyro D
8 K. Danielak M
25 M. Hanousek M
22 D. Kun M
92 Fábio Nunes M
13 E. Terpiłowski F
19 B. Pawłowski F
10 J. Letniowski F
Bench (9)
9 Jordi Sánchez
33 M. Kreuzriegler
6 J. Shehu
77 K. Hansen
23 P. Zieliński
72 V. Lytvynenko
21 J. Sypek
5 S. Szota
97 R. Gołębiowski

Coach: J. Niedźwiedź

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.