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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Welz

Fortuna Dusseldorf

U S S T S

2–1

Full-time

Paderborn

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

2,0

5,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+5,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%

6 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 7. · Paderborn 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sandhausen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Bielefeld	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sandhausen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Bielefeld	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.