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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Stefanski
Puszcza
T S U S T
2–2
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Puszcza Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,37 xG 1,03
40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Puszcza 14. · Gornik Zabrze 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Pogon Szczecin 1 1 0 0 +3 +2.0 3
2 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.9 3
3 Lech Poznan 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.6 3
4 Legia 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.9 3
5 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.2 3
6 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.1 3
7 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.3 1
8 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.3 1
9 Cracovia 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.1 1
10 Piast Gliwice 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.1 1
11 Stal Mielec 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.0 1
12 Widzew Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.0 1
13 GKS Katowice 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.1 0
14 Puszcza 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.9 0
15 Gornik Zabrze 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.6 0
16 Zaglebie 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.9 0
17 Motor Lublin 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.2 0
18 Korona Kielce 1 0 0 1 -3 -2.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Puszcza Gornik Zabrze
11′
Manu Sánchez 0–1
L. Zahović
Half-time 0–1
M. Kosidis 🔁
↦ M. Sipľak
46′
50′
🟨 Lukas Podolski
50′
🟨 Nikodem Zielonka
1–1 M. Kosidis
Lee Jin-Hyun
52′
56′
D. Rasak 1–2
S. Kozuki
2–2 J. Serafin
60′
62′
🔁 A. Buksa
↦ L. Zahović
62′
🔁 L. Ambros
↦ N. Zielonka
Konrad Stępień 🟨
70′
H. Tomalski 🔁
↦ M. Cholewiak
77′
P. Kieliś 🔁
↦ K. Stępień
77′
W. Hajda 🔁
↦ M. Radecki
77′
79′
🔁 T. Ismaheel
↦ Ł. Podolski
79′
🔁 K. Lukoszek
↦ S. Kozuki
D. Szymonowicz 🔁
↦ J. Serafin
89′
89′
🔁 P. Hellebrand
↦ Filipe Nascimento
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Puszcza

4-2-3-1
1 K. Komar G
67 I. Revenco D
22 A. Crăciun D
3 R. Yakuba D
33 D. Abramowicz D
14 J. Serafin M
5 K. Stępień M
11 M. Cholewiak M
6 Lee Jin-Hyun M
18 M. Sipľak M
17 M. Radecki F
Bench (9)
35 M. Kosidis
10 H. Tomalski
23 P. Kieliś
70 W. Hajda
4 D. Szymonowicz
24 J. Blagaić
8 P. Mroziński
31 M. Perchel
16 M. Walski

Coach: T. Tułacz

Gornik Zabrze

4-2-3-1
25 M. Szromnik G
22 Manu Sánchez D
26 R. Janicki D
20 Josema D
64 E. Janža D
6 D. Rasak M
23 Filipe Nascimento M
41 S. Kozuki M
10 Ł. Podolski M
30 N. Zielonka M
7 L. Zahović F
Bench (9)
44 A. Buksa
18 L. Ambros
11 T. Ismaheel
17 K. Lukoszek
8 P. Hellebrand
1 F. Majchrowicz
21 P. Krawczyk
27 D. Szala
5 K. Szcześniak

Coach: J. Urban

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Stefanski · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.