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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
Lechia Gdansk
U S T T U
0–2
Full-time
Motor Lublin
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Motor Lublin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,2
1,5
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,42 xG 1,50
57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 8. · Motor Lublin 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Pogon Szczecin 1 1 0 0 +3 +2.0 3
2 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.9 3
3 Lech Poznan 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.6 3
4 Legia 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.9 3
5 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.2 3
6 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.1 3
7 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.3 1
8 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.3 1
9 Cracovia 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.1 1
10 Piast Gliwice 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.1 1
11 Stal Mielec 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.0 1
12 Widzew Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.0 1
13 Puszcza 2 0 1 1 -2 -0.5 1
14 Gornik Zabrze 2 0 1 1 -2 -1.9 1
15 GKS Katowice 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.1 0
16 Zaglebie 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.9 0
17 Motor Lublin 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.2 0
18 Korona Kielce 1 0 0 1 -3 -2.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lechia Gdansk Motor Lublin
Kacper Sezonienko 🟨
25′
32′
🟨 Krzysztof Kubica
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Çalışkaner
↦ K. Kubica
T. Bobček 🔁
↦ B. Viunnyk
51′
63′
🔁 M. Król
↦ M. NDiaye
63′
🔁 M. Scalet
↦ M. Gąsior
71′
S. Mráz 0–1
B. Wolski
74′
P. Ceglarz 0–2
M. Król
75′
🔁 P. Stolarski
↦ F. Wójcik
75′
🔁 R. Król
↦ S. Mráz
Conrado 🔁
↦ M. Kałahur
76′
T. Wójtowicz 🔁
↦ K. Sezonienko
76′
S. Buletsa 🔁
↦ T. Neugebauer
76′
Andrei Chindriş 🟨
79′
85′
🟨 Filip Luberecki
K. Wendt 🔁
↦ R. Kapič
89′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lechia Gdansk

4-1-4-1
29 B. Sarnavskyi G
11 D. Piła D
4 A. Chindriş D
94 L. Guého D
23 M. Kałahur D
5 I. Zhelizko M
7 C. Mena M
8 R. Kapič M
99 T. Neugebauer M
9 B. Viunnyk M
79 K. Sezonienko F
Bench (7)
89 T. Bobček
20 Conrado
33 T. Wójtowicz
19 S. Buletsa
6 K. Wendt
1 S. Weirauch
16 L. D'Arrigo

Coach: S. Grabowski

Motor Lublin

4-3-2-1
40 I. Brkić G
17 F. Wójcik D
21 S. Rudol D
39 M. Bartoš D
24 F. Luberecki D
68 B. Wolski M
55 M. Gąsior M
8 K. Kubica M
30 M. N'Diaye M
77 P. Ceglarz M
90 S. Mráz F
Bench (9)
11 K. Çalışkaner
26 M. Król
37 M. Scalet
28 P. Stolarski
10 R. Król
3 P. Romanowski
22 C. Simon
9 K. Wełniak
1 K. Rosa

Coach: M. Stolarski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.