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Ekstraklasa

Referee: R Rzucidło

Piast Gliwice

U U S S U

2–2

Full-time

Stal Mielec

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,2

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 31%

33%

29%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

24%

48%

Both score Ø 48%

38%

57%

Average goals

2,0

2,4

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,61 xG 0,94

61% Possession 39%

31 Shots 9

11 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

8 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Piast Gliwice 9. · Stal Mielec 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	21	13	2	6	+20	+10.9	41
2	Jagiellonia	21	12	5	4	+14	-0.1	41
3	Rakow	21	11	7	3	+14	+10.6	40
4	Legia	21	10	6	5	+14	+10.2	36
5	Pogon Szczecin	21	11	3	7	+9	+9.1	36
6	Cracovia	21	9	7	5	+8	+0.2	34
7	Gornik Zabrze	21	10	4	7	+4	+4.1	34
8	GKS Katowice	21	8	6	7	+4	+0.9	30
9	Piast Gliwice	21	7	8	6	+3	-2.3	29
10	Motor Lublin	21	8	5	8	-7	-1.5	29
11	Widzew Lodz	21	7	5	9	-7	-3.2	26
12	Korona Kielce	21	5	8	8	-11	-4.7	23
13	Stal Mielec	21	6	4	11	-6	+4.6	22
14	Zaglebie	21	6	4	11	-13	-7.1	22
15	Radomiak Radom	21	6	3	12	-9	-0.6	21
16	Lechia Gdansk	21	5	6	10	-12	-16.2	21
17	Puszcza	21	4	7	10	-12	-10.7	19
18	Slask Wroclaw	21	2	8	11	-13	-4.3	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	11	9	1	1	+14	+10.1	28
2	Lech Poznan	11	9	0	2	+19	+9.3	27
3	Jagiellonia	11	7	3	1	+14	+4.4	24
4	Legia	11	7	2	2	+13	+8.2	23
5	Gornik Zabrze	11	6	2	3	+5	+5.3	20
6	Stal Mielec	11	5	3	3	+3	+8.0	18
7	Widzew Lodz	10	5	2	3	+2	-0.6	17
8	GKS Katowice	11	4	4	3	+4	-1.8	16
9	Rakow	10	4	3	3	+5	+6.0	15
10	Motor Lublin	10	4	3	3	+0	-0.3	15
11	Piast Gliwice	10	3	5	2	+2	-1.3	14
12	Cracovia	11	3	5	3	+1	+1.0	14
13	Puszcza	10	3	4	3	-1	-2.7	13
14	Zaglebie	10	4	1	5	-3	-1.8	13
15	Radomiak Radom	10	3	3	4	+2	+3.0	12
16	Korona Kielce	10	3	2	5	-4	+1.7	11
17	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	2	5	-6	-9.6	11
18	Slask Wroclaw	11	2	4	5	-3	-1.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	11	7	4	0	+9	+4.7	25
2	Cracovia	10	6	2	2	+7	-0.8	20
3	Jagiellonia	10	5	2	3	+0	-4.5	17
4	Piast Gliwice	11	4	3	4	+1	-1.0	15
5	Lech Poznan	10	4	2	4	+1	+1.6	14
6	GKS Katowice	10	4	2	4	+0	+2.7	14
7	Gornik Zabrze	10	4	2	4	-1	-1.2	14
8	Motor Lublin	11	4	2	5	-7	-1.2	14
9	Legia	10	3	4	3	+1	+2.0	13
10	Korona Kielce	11	2	6	3	-7	-6.4	12
11	Lechia Gdansk	11	2	4	5	-6	-6.6	10
12	Widzew Lodz	11	2	3	6	-9	-2.6	9
13	Zaglebie	11	2	3	6	-10	-5.3	9
14	Radomiak Radom	11	3	0	8	-11	-3.6	9
15	Pogon Szczecin	10	2	2	6	-5	-1.0	8
16	Puszcza	11	1	3	7	-11	-8.0	6
17	Stal Mielec	10	1	1	8	-9	-3.4	4
18	Slask Wroclaw	10	0	4	6	-10	-3.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.