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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Karol Arys
1–1
Full-time
Wisla Plock
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Wisla Plock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 44%
33%
55%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
75%
27%
Both score Ø 69%
83%
55%
Average goals
3,7
2,1
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Radomiak Radom 12. · Wisla Plock 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 13 8 2 3 +10 -1.3 26
2 Jagiellonia 12 7 3 2 +9 +0.6 24
3 Cracovia 12 6 3 3 +7 +4.5 21
4 Wisla Plock 11 6 3 2 +7 +6.4 21
5 Lech Poznan 12 5 5 2 +2 +6.9 20
6 Korona Kielce 13 5 4 4 +4 -2.0 19
7 Zaglebie 12 4 5 3 +7 -1.0 17
8 Rakow 12 5 2 5 -2 +0.8 17
9 Pogon Szczecin 13 5 2 6 -3 +5.4 17
10 Legia 12 4 4 4 +2 +2.6 16
11 Widzew Lodz 13 5 1 7 +0 +2.9 16
12 Radomiak Radom 12 4 3 5 +0 -0.8 15
13 Lechia Gdansk 13 4 3 6 -7 -3.0 15
14 Arka Gdynia 13 4 3 6 -11 -6.0 15
15 Motor Lublin 12 3 5 4 -5 -2.5 14
16 GKS Katowice 13 4 2 7 -7 -7.0 14
17 Nieciecza 13 2 4 7 -8 -1.7 10
18 Piast Gliwice 11 1 4 6 -5 -4.8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Radomiak Radom Wisla Plock
1–0 Maurides
R. Wolski
28′
32′
ℹ️ Žan Rogelj
VAR: Penalty confirmed
34′
L. Sekulski 1–1
Half-time 1–1
61′
🔁 W. Nowak
↦ M. Djalo
61′
🔁 I. Salvador
↦ D. Juric
V. Lopes 🔁
↦ A. Tapsoba
62′
E. Balde 🔁
↦ Capita
62′
Ibrahima Camará 🟨
68′
Ibrahima Camará 🟥
VAR: Red card cancelled
72′
R. Baro 🔁
↦ R. Alves
74′
83′
🔁 G. Niarchos
↦ L. Sekulski
M. Kaput 🔁
↦ I. Camara
86′
Depu 🔁
↦ Maurides
86′
90′
🟨 Žan Rogelj
90′
🔁 N. Mijuskovic
↦ T. Tavares
90′
🔁 K. Pomorski
↦ D. Kun
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Radomiak Radom

4-2-3-1
1 F. Majchrowicz G
24 Zie Ouattara D
74 S. Kingue D
26 A. Dieguez D
13 J. Grzesik D
10 R. Alves M
2 I. Camara M
15 A. Tapsoba M
27 R. Wolski M
11 Capita M
25 Maurides F
Bench (12)
44 W. Koptas
75 M. Jerke
16 M. Cichocki
5 J. Blasco
20 Joao Pedro
28 M. Kaput
77 C. Donis
6 R. Baro
99 Guilherme
7 V. Lopes
21 E. Balde
29 Depu

Coach: João Alexandre Oliveira Nunes Henriques

Wisla Plock

5-3-2
12 R. Leszczynski G
21 Z. Rogelj D
4 M. Haglind-Sangre D
35 M. Kaminski D
19 A. Edmundsson D
13 Q. Lecoeuche D
14 D. Kun M
84 T. Tavares M
17 M. Djalo M
99 D. Juric F
20 L. Sekulski F
Bench (10)
1 S. Pruszkowski
5 B. Nastic
25 N. Mijuskovic
3 A. Kalandadze
16 F. Hiszpanski
2 K. Custovic
30 W. Nowak
6 K. Pomorski
66 I. Salvador
9 G. Niarchos

Coach: Mariusz Misiura

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Karol Arys · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.