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Allsvenskan
Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson
Malmo FF
S T T S U
1–3
Full-time
Hammarby
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 54%
44%
63%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
48%
56%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
48%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,60 xG 1,14
40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malmo FF 6. · Hammarby 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 28 21 6 1 +33 +5.4 69
2 Hammarby 27 17 4 6 +26 +18.4 55
3 GAIS 28 14 9 5 +16 +15.0 51
4 Goteborg 28 15 2 11 +6 +4.4 47
5 Djurgarden 28 12 9 7 +18 +8.0 45
6 Malmo FF 27 12 9 6 +14 +14.5 45
7 AIK 28 12 9 7 +6 +7.1 45
8 Elfsborg 28 12 4 12 +0 -1.9 40
9 Hacken 28 9 7 12 -7 +3.5 34
10 Sirius 28 9 6 13 -1 +0.7 33
11 Halmstad 28 9 4 15 -28 -14.8 31
12 Brommapojkarna 28 9 3 16 -5 -1.9 30
13 Norrkoping 28 8 5 15 -14 -12.2 29
14 Degerfors 28 7 5 16 -21 -6.6 26
15 Oster 28 6 7 15 -17 -16.4 25
16 Varnamo 28 3 7 18 -26 -23.2 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF Hammarby
17′
N. Besara 0–1
P. Abraham
26′
P. Abraham 0–2
H. Skoglund
Oscar Lewicki 🟨
33′
45′
J. Stryger 1–2
own goal
Half-time 1–2
T. Ali 🔁
↦ A. Skogmar
46′
E. Ekong 🔁
↦ D. T. Gudjohnsen
46′
Sead Hakšabanović 🟨
50′
Pontus Jansson 🟨
52′
2–2 M. Olsson
58′
Busanello 🔁
↦ M. Olsson
63′
S. Soumah 🔁
↦ H. Bolin
63′
63′
🔁 O. Johansson
↦ A. Lahdo
69′
🟨 Pavle Vagić
K. Busuladzic 🔁
↦ S. Haksabanovic
76′
80′
🔁 S. Strand
↦ M. Madjed
80′
🔁 F. Junior Adjei
↦ T. Tekie
80′
🔁 O. Okeke
↦ P. Abraham
93′
🔁 M. Kabore
↦ N. Besara
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-4-2
30 R. Olsen G
17 J. Stryger D
18 P. Jansson D
19 C. Rosler D
13 M. Olsson D
38 H. Bolin M
6 O. Lewicki M
7 O. Rosengren M
29 S. Haksabanovic M
37 A. Skogmar F
32 D. T. Gudjohnsen F
Bench (9)
33 M. Ellborg
2 J. Karlsson
5 A. Djuric
25 Busanello
40 K. Busuladzic
21 S. Holmquist
22 T. Ali
15 S. Soumah
11 E. Ekong

Coach: Henrik Per-Erik Rydström

Hammarby

4-3-1-2
1 W. Hahn G
2 H. Skoglund D
4 V. Eriksson D
6 P. Vagic D
3 F. Winther D
8 M. Karlsson M
5 T. Tekie M
15 A. Lahdo M
20 N. Besara M
26 M. Madjed F
7 P. Abraham F
Bench (9)
27 F. Jakobsson
17 I. Fofana
21 S. Strand
22 J. Ortmark
28 F. Junior Adjei
11 O. Johansson
23 O. Okeke
19 N. Vasic
29 M. Kabore

Coach: Kim Alexander Hellberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kristoffer Karlsson · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.