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Ekstraklasa

Referee: L Kuzma

Rakow

U U S S T

2–0

Full-time

Korona Kielce

T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 30/31 matches

Win Ø 38%

43%

32%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

47%

42%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

55%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,91 xG 1,43

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 5. · Korona Kielce 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	31	15	10	6	+15	+26.7	55
2	Gornik Zabrze	30	14	7	9	+9	-3.7	49
3	GKS Katowice	31	14	5	12	+6	-5.3	47
4	Jagiellonia	30	12	10	8	+11	-4.9	46
5	Rakow	30	13	7	10	+6	+8.7	46
6	Zaglebie	31	12	9	10	+7	-6.9	45
7	Wisla Plock	31	12	9	10	+1	-2.2	45
8	Radomiak Radom	31	11	10	10	+5	-0.4	43
9	Lechia Gdansk	31	12	7	12	+1	+6.6	43
10	Pogon Szczecin	31	12	5	14	-2	+5.4	41
11	Piast Gliwice	31	11	7	13	-1	-0.9	40
12	Legia	31	9	13	9	-1	+3.4	40
13	Korona Kielce	31	10	9	12	+1	-4.3	39
14	Cracovia	31	9	12	10	-3	+1.5	39
15	Motor Lublin	31	9	12	10	-7	-9.9	39
16	Widzew Lodz	31	10	6	15	-2	+3.2	36
17	Arka Gdynia	30	9	7	14	-23	-7.4	34
18	Nieciecza	31	7	7	17	-23	-9.4	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	GKS Katowice	16	10	2	4	+11	-0.1	32
2	Radomiak Radom	16	9	4	3	+17	+8.9	31
3	Gornik Zabrze	15	10	1	4	+15	+3.5	31
4	Pogon Szczecin	16	9	2	5	+9	+7.3	29
5	Arka Gdynia	15	8	5	2	+4	-1.0	29
6	Lechia Gdansk	16	8	4	4	+12	+6.1	28
7	Zaglebie	16	7	6	3	+12	+1.3	27
8	Legia	16	7	6	3	+7	+5.9	27
9	Wisla Plock	15	8	3	4	+5	+2.0	27
10	Lech Poznan	15	7	5	3	+10	+15.6	26
11	Widzew Lodz	15	7	4	4	+5	+4.7	25
12	Jagiellonia	15	7	3	5	+8	+2.9	24
13	Korona Kielce	16	6	5	5	+5	+3.4	23
14	Motor Lublin	16	5	8	3	+3	+0.0	23
15	Rakow	14	6	4	4	+5	+4.8	22
16	Cracovia	15	5	7	3	+4	+6.3	22
17	Piast Gliwice	15	6	3	6	+2	+3.3	21
18	Nieciecza	15	3	4	8	-10	-3.6	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	16	8	5	3	+5	+11.1	29
2	Rakow	16	7	3	6	+1	+3.9	24
3	Jagiellonia	15	5	7	3	+3	-7.8	22
4	Piast Gliwice	16	5	4	7	-3	-4.2	19
5	Wisla Plock	16	4	6	6	-4	-4.3	18
6	Zaglebie	15	5	3	7	-5	-8.2	18
7	Gornik Zabrze	15	4	6	5	-6	-7.2	18
8	Cracovia	16	4	5	7	-7	-4.8	17
9	Korona Kielce	15	4	4	7	-4	-7.7	16
10	Motor Lublin	15	4	4	7	-10	-9.9	16
11	GKS Katowice	15	4	3	8	-5	-5.2	15
12	Lechia Gdansk	15	4	3	8	-11	+0.4	15
13	Nieciecza	16	4	3	9	-13	-5.8	15
14	Legia	15	2	7	6	-8	-2.5	13
15	Pogon Szczecin	15	3	3	9	-11	-1.9	12
16	Radomiak Radom	15	2	6	7	-12	-9.3	12
17	Widzew Lodz	16	3	2	11	-7	-1.5	11
18	Arka Gdynia	15	1	2	12	-27	-6.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.