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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Musial

Rakow

S U S T T

1–0

Full-time

Korona Kielce

U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 33%

47%

18%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

59%

29%

Both score Ø 62%

65%

59%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,14 xG 0,19

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 5. · Korona Kielce 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	19	12	5	2	+16	+2.2	41
2	Jagiellonia	19	11	5	3	+18	+6.6	38
3	Lech Poznan	19	9	6	4	+7	-2.0	33
4	Pogon Szczecin	19	9	3	7	+11	+10.4	30
5	Rakow	17	8	5	4	+12	+8.3	29
6	Legia	17	8	5	4	+6	+5.2	29
7	Gornik Zabrze	19	7	5	7	+1	-1.8	26
8	Zaglebie	19	7	4	8	-9	+3.3	25
9	Radomiak Radom	19	6	6	7	+1	+2.3	24
10	Stal Mielec	17	6	4	7	-1	-7.8	22
11	Widzew Lodz	19	6	4	9	-5	-2.8	22
12	Piast Gliwice	17	3	12	2	+1	+10.4	21
13	Puszcza	18	5	5	8	-10	-11.1	20
14	Warta Poznan	19	4	7	8	-6	-4.0	19
15	Korona Kielce	17	3	9	5	-1	-1.3	18
16	Cracovia	17	3	9	5	-6	-2.1	18
17	Ruch Chorzow	19	1	10	8	-12	-7.3	13
18	LKS Lodz	18	2	4	12	-23	-8.5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	9	8	1	0	+19	+7.7	25
2	Rakow	9	6	3	0	+16	+8.0	21
3	Lech Poznan	10	6	2	2	+10	+0.5	20
4	Slask Wroclaw	9	5	3	1	+8	+4.3	18
5	Legia	9	5	2	2	+7	+6.0	17
6	Gornik Zabrze	9	5	2	2	+3	-1.8	17
7	Puszcza	10	4	4	2	+0	-3.4	16
8	Zaglebie	10	4	3	3	-1	+2.7	15
9	Widzew Lodz	9	5	0	4	-1	+4.5	15
10	Stal Mielec	8	4	2	2	+5	-0.9	14
11	Pogon Szczecin	10	4	2	4	+3	+11.8	14
12	Radomiak Radom	10	2	5	3	+1	+2.9	11
13	Korona Kielce	8	2	4	2	+2	+3.9	10
14	Piast Gliwice	7	2	4	1	+1	+7.6	10
15	LKS Lodz	10	2	4	4	-9	-7.5	10
16	Ruch Chorzow	9	1	5	3	-4	-1.7	8
17	Cracovia	9	1	5	3	-6	-0.4	8
18	Warta Poznan	9	1	3	5	-5	-0.8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	10	7	2	1	+8	-2.1	23
2	Pogon Szczecin	9	5	1	3	+8	-1.4	16
3	Radomiak Radom	9	4	1	4	+0	-0.6	13
4	Jagiellonia	10	3	4	3	-1	-1.1	13
5	Warta Poznan	10	3	4	3	-1	-3.2	13
6	Lech Poznan	9	3	4	2	-3	-2.5	13
7	Legia	8	3	3	2	-1	-0.8	12
8	Piast Gliwice	10	1	8	1	+0	+2.8	11
9	Cracovia	8	2	4	2	+0	-1.7	10
10	Zaglebie	9	3	1	5	-8	+0.6	10
11	Gornik Zabrze	10	2	3	5	-2	-0.1	9
12	Korona Kielce	9	1	5	3	-3	-5.2	8
13	Rakow	8	2	2	4	-4	+0.2	8
14	Stal Mielec	9	2	2	5	-6	-7.0	8
15	Widzew Lodz	10	1	4	5	-4	-7.3	7
16	Ruch Chorzow	10	0	5	5	-8	-5.6	5
17	Puszcza	8	1	1	6	-10	-7.7	4
18	LKS Lodz	8	0	0	8	-14	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.