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Serie B

Referee: A Colombo

Cagliari

S S S S S

3–2

Full-time

Parma

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,8

This season — Serie B · 39/38 matches

Win Ø 43%

41%

45%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

41%

37%

Both score Ø 48%

54%

42%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

5 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 5. · Parma 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	38	24	8	6	+37	80
2	Genoa	38	21	11	6	+25	74
3	Bari	39	17	14	8	+20	65
4	Sudtirol	40	16	16	8	+6	64
5	Cagliari	39	16	15	8	+17	63
6	Parma	38	17	10	11	+9	61
7	Reggina	39	17	4	18	+3	55
8	Venezia	39	13	10	16	+0	49
9	Palermo	38	11	16	11	-1	49
10	Modena	38	13	9	16	-6	48
11	Pisa	38	11	14	13	+6	47
12	Como	38	10	17	11	-1	47
13	Ascoli	38	12	11	15	-7	47
14	Cittadella	38	9	16	13	-11	43
15	Ternana	38	11	10	17	-15	43
16	Cosenza	39	10	13	16	-22	43
17	Brescia	39	9	13	17	-22	40
18	Perugia	38	10	9	19	-12	39
19	Spal	38	8	14	16	-10	38
20	Benevento	38	7	14	17	-16	35

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	19	14	3	2	+24	45
2	Genoa	19	12	6	1	+19	42
3	Cagliari	20	12	6	2	+12	42
4	Parma	19	11	2	6	+10	35
5	Sudtirol	21	8	10	3	+5	34
6	Palermo	19	8	8	3	+8	32
7	Reggina	19	10	2	7	+6	32
8	Como	19	8	7	4	+8	31
9	Cosenza	20	8	7	5	+3	31
10	Bari	19	7	9	3	+11	30
11	Modena	19	7	8	4	+8	29
12	Ternana	19	8	5	6	+0	29
13	Pisa	19	7	5	7	+6	26
14	Venezia	19	7	5	7	+2	26
15	Ascoli	19	6	6	7	-2	24
16	Perugia	19	6	6	7	-4	24
17	Brescia	19	6	6	7	-5	24
18	Cittadella	19	5	8	6	-3	23
19	Spal	19	4	7	8	-2	19
20	Benevento	19	4	6	9	-9	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	19	10	5	4	+13	35
2	Bari	20	10	5	5	+9	35
3	Genoa	19	9	5	5	+6	32
4	Sudtirol	19	8	6	5	+1	30
5	Parma	19	6	8	5	-1	26
6	Venezia	20	6	5	9	-2	23
7	Reggina	20	7	2	11	-3	23
8	Ascoli	19	6	5	8	-5	23
9	Cagliari	19	4	9	6	+5	21
10	Pisa	19	4	9	6	+0	21
11	Cittadella	19	4	8	7	-8	20
12	Spal	19	4	7	8	-8	19
13	Modena	19	6	1	12	-14	19
14	Benevento	19	3	8	8	-7	17
15	Palermo	19	3	8	8	-9	17
16	Como	19	2	10	7	-9	16
17	Brescia	20	3	7	10	-17	16
18	Perugia	19	4	3	12	-8	15
19	Ternana	19	3	5	11	-15	14
20	Cosenza	19	2	6	11	-25	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.