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Serie B
Referee: D Massa
Brescia
S T U U T
1–1
Full-time
Cosenza
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 25%
23%
26%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
36%
36%
Both score Ø 49%
49%
49%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
20 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 0
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 17. · Cosenza 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 38 24 8 6 +37 80
2 Genoa 38 21 11 6 +25 74
3 Cagliari 40 17 15 8 +18 66
4 Bari 39 17 14 8 +20 65
5 Sudtirol 40 16 16 8 +6 64
6 Parma 39 17 10 12 +8 61
7 Reggina 39 17 4 18 +3 55
8 Venezia 39 13 10 16 +0 49
9 Palermo 38 11 16 11 -1 49
10 Modena 38 13 9 16 -6 48
11 Pisa 38 11 14 13 +6 47
12 Como 38 10 17 11 -1 47
13 Ascoli 38 12 11 15 -7 47
14 Cittadella 38 9 16 13 -11 43
15 Ternana 38 11 10 17 -15 43
16 Cosenza 39 10 13 16 -22 43
17 Brescia 39 9 13 17 -22 40
18 Perugia 38 10 9 19 -12 39
19 Spal 38 8 14 16 -10 38
20 Benevento 38 7 14 17 -16 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Cosenza
23′
🟨 Pietro Martino
32′
🟨 Marco Nasti
Jakub Łabojko 🟨
36′
39′
🟨 Idriz Voca
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Praszelik
↦ I. Voca
F. Bianchi 🔁
↦ M. Listkowski
59′
T. van de Looi 🔁
↦ J. Łabojko
60′
60′
🔁 M. Zilli
↦ C. DUrso
61′
🔁 S. Väisänen
↦ M. Venturi
N. Galazzi 🔁
↦ M. Mangraviti
67′
Andrea Cistana 🟨
70′
1–0 D. Bisoli
Pablo Rodríguez
74′
75′
🔁 A. Cortinovis
↦ A. Florenzi
Pablo Rodríguez 🟨
77′
88′
🔁 A. Rispoli
↦ P. Martino
95′
A. Meroni 1–1
M. Brescianini
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brescia

4-3-1-2
1 L. Andrenacci G
2 F. Karačić D
15 A. Cistana D
4 D. Adorni D
14 M. Mangraviti D
25 D. Bisoli M
21 J. Łabojko M
23 J. Björkengren M
29 M. Listkowski M
11 F. Ayé F
9 Pablo Rodríguez F
Bench (10)
24 F. Bianchi
5 T. van de Looi
6 N. Galazzi
20 R. Niemeijer
16 Adryan
27 G. Olzer
30 F. Pace
12 L. Lezzerini
31 M. Scavone
8 E. Ndoj

Coach: D. Gastaldello

Cosenza

4-1-4-1
1 A. Micai G
27 P. Martino D
13 A. Meroni D
5 M. Rigione D
11 T. D'Orazio D
23 M. Venturi M
10 C. D'Urso M
4 M. Brescianini M
42 I. Voca M
34 A. Florenzi M
20 M. Nasti F
Bench (12)
17 M. Praszelik
40 M. Zilli
15 S. Väisänen
72 A. Cortinovis
3 A. Rispoli
6 G. Calò
33 S. La Vardera
7 E. Kornvig
32 M. Marras
16 M. Finotto
48 A. Arioli
77 L. Marson

Coach: W. Viali

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.