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Serie B
Referee: G Aureliano
Brescia
S U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Pisa
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 28%
25%
31%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
36%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 17. · Pisa 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 36 22 8 6 +35 74
2 Genoa 36 20 11 5 +25 71
3 Bari 36 16 14 6 +21 62
4 Sudtirol 36 14 15 7 +5 57
5 Parma 36 15 10 11 +7 55
6 Cagliari 36 13 15 8 +14 54
7 Reggina 36 16 4 16 +4 52
8 Palermo 36 11 15 10 +0 48
9 Pisa 36 11 13 12 +7 46
10 Venezia 36 12 10 14 +1 46
11 Ascoli 36 12 10 14 -6 46
12 Modena 36 12 9 15 -6 45
13 Como 36 9 16 11 -3 43
14 Ternana 36 11 10 15 -12 43
15 Cittadella 36 9 14 13 -11 41
16 Cosenza 36 9 12 15 -22 39
17 Brescia 36 9 11 16 -21 38
18 Perugia 36 9 9 18 -12 36
19 Spal 36 7 14 15 -10 35
20 Benevento 36 6 14 16 -16 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Pisa
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Hjörtur Hermannsson
1–0 D. Bisoli
Pablo Rodríguez
53′
Pablo Rodríguez 🟨
58′
59′
🔁 G. Sibilli
↦ E. Zuelli
59′
🔁 G. Masucci
↦ E. Torregrossa
60′
🟨 Gaetano Masucci
E. Ndoj 🔁
↦ Adryan
63′
F. Bianchi 🔁
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
63′
67′
🔁 M. Gargiulo
↦ G. Mastinu
67′
🔁 O. Moruțan
↦ M. Tramoni
T. van de Looi 🔁
↦ J. Łabojko
70′
73′
🟨 Giuseppe Sibilli
Flavio Bianchi 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Marius Marin
M. Scavone 🔁
↦ F. Ayé
78′
R. Niemeijer 🔁
↦ J. Björkengren
79′
79′
G. Masucci 1–1
O. Moruțan
85′
🔁 Á. Nagy
↦ M. Marin
Fran Karačić 🟨
87′
93′
🟨 Olimpiu Moruțan
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brescia

4-3-1-2
1 L. Andrenacci G
2 F. Karačić D
15 A. Cistana D
14 M. Mangraviti D
3 M. Huard D
25 D. Bisoli M
21 J. Łabojko M
23 J. Björkengren M
16 Adryan M
11 F. Ayé F
9 Pablo Rodríguez F
Bench (8)
8 E. Ndoj
24 F. Bianchi
5 T. van de Looi
31 M. Scavone
20 R. Niemeijer
4 D. Adorni
33 Z. Muça
12 L. Lezzerini

Coach: D. Gastaldello

Pisa

4-3-1-2
1 Nícolas G
6 H. Hermannsson D
4 A. Caracciolo D
93 F. Barba D
20 P. Beruatto D
8 M. Marin M
21 E. Zuelli M
18 G. Mastinu M
27 M. Tramoni M
9 E. Gliozzi F
10 E. Torregrossa F
Bench (12)
17 G. Sibilli
26 G. Masucci
25 M. Gargiulo
80 O. Moruțan
16 Á. Nagy
30 A. De Vitis
44 A. Rus
24 C. Sussi
32 S. Moreo
22 A. Livieri
33 A. Calabresi
77 L. Tramoni

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U ✓
3,13
B
3,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Aureliano · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.