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LaLiga2
Referee: Salvador Lax
Eibar
S S S S S
3–2
Full-time
Las Palmas
S T U S T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

49% Possession 51%
18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Eibar 2. · Las Palmas 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Castellon 6 5 1 0 +10 +0.4 16
2 Eibar 6 5 0 1 +8 +1.4 15
3 Almeria 7 5 0 2 +7 +0.4 15
4 Girona 7 4 1 2 +6 +0.9 13
5 Mallorca 7 4 1 2 +5 +2.5 13
6 Sabadell 7 3 3 1 +2 +3.5 12
7 Burgos 6 3 2 1 +3 -0.3 11
8 Leganes 6 3 2 1 +1 -2.0 11
9 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 -1 -0.8 11
10 Sp Gijon 6 3 1 2 +1 -1.0 10
11 Las Palmas 6 3 1 2 +0 -2.3 10
12 Oviedo 6 2 2 2 +1 +3.1 8
13 Granada 7 2 2 3 -1 +0.1 8
14 Sociedad B 7 2 2 3 -1 -2.0 8
15 Celta B 7 2 2 3 -3 -3.9 8
16 Valladolid 7 2 2 3 -3 -1.6 8
17 Andorra 7 2 0 5 -3 +4.6 6
18 Cordoba 7 2 0 5 -6 +1.0 6
19 Eldense 6 1 2 3 -4 -1.9 5
20 Cadiz 7 0 4 3 -3 +2.4 4
21 Ceuta 7 1 1 5 -11 -5.0 4
22 Albacete 7 0 1 6 -8 +0.4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Mar -26 Eibar – Las Palmas 3–1 19. Oct -25 Las Palmas – Eibar 3–1 8. May -23 Eibar – Las Palmas 0–1 6. Nov -22 Las Palmas – Eibar 1–1 15. Apr -22 Eibar – Las Palmas 2–2

Match report

Eibar Las Palmas
1–0 Ander Madariaga Susaeta ⚽
Malcom Ares
6′
2–0 Alvaro Rodriguez ⚽
Malcom Ares
9′
24′
⚽ Valentín Alejandro Pezzolesi 2–1
Iván Jaime
28′
🟨 Giovanni Bonfanti
37′
🟨 Alex Suárez
Half-time 2–1
61′
🔁 Jefte Betancor Sanchez
↦ Manu Fuster
3–1 Javier Martón Ansó ⚽
jon guruzeta
62′
Elijah Gift Izobodo John 🔁
↦ Malcom Ares
68′
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ Javier Martón Ansó
68′
Lucas Nuñez Ramirez 🔁
↦ Aleix Garrido
69′
69′
🟨 Kirian Rodríguez
71′
🔁 Elías Romero
↦ Jesé Rodríguez
71′
🔁 Andrés Rodríguez Martínez
↦ Alex Suárez
Pejiño 🔁
↦ jon guruzeta
79′
81′
🔁 Sandro Ramírez
↦ Giovanni Bonfanti
81′
🟨 Iván Jaime
85′
⚽ Jefte Betancor Sanchez 3–2
Elías Romero
86′
🟨 Andrés Rodríguez Martínez
91′
🟨 Valentín Alejandro Pezzolesi
92′
🟨 Iñaki González Zambrano
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Jon Mikel G
22 Álvaro Rodríguez D
4 Unai Elgezabal D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
24 Juan Bernat D
30 Aleix Garrido M
8 Ander Madariaga M
7 Malcom Adu M
11 Jon Magunazelaia M
10 Jon Guruzeta M
20 Javi Martón F
Bench (11)
15 Jair Amador
18 M. Arana
9 Jon Bautista
17 Pejiño
2 Sergio Cubero
3 Imanol García de Albéniz
21 Iván Gil
27 Elijah Gift Izobodo John
1 Luis López
28 Lucas Nuñez
19 Eric Pérez

Coach: Jokin Arambarri

Las Palmas

4-4-2
13 José Caro G
25 Valentín Pezzolesi D
4 Álex Suárez D
21 G. Bonfanti D
12 E. Loiodice D
11 T. Miyashiro M
20 Kirian Rodríguez M
6 Iñaki González Zambrano M
24 Iván Jaime M
10 Jesé F
14 Manu Fuster F
Bench (12)
26 A. Bassinga
7 Jefté Betancor
30 I. Medina
3 N. Opoku
19 Sandro Ramírez
23 A. Rodriguez
29 Elías Romero
42 Rachid Saiah Bouchaiba
35 Adrián Suárez
41 Jorge Valverde Dios
44 Adrián Vázquez
16 Mateo Acimovic

Coach: Rubén De La Barrera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
🔒
U
3,28
🔒
B
3,76
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,25
🔒
U1,5
3,75
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,91
🔒
U2,5
1,80
🔒
O3,5 ✓
3,05
🔒
U3,5
1,35
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,70
🔒
BLS nei
2,03
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Salvador Lax · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.