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LaLiga2
Referee: Jose Guzman
Las Palmas
S S T U S
1–2
Full-time
Burgos
S T U U S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 6. · Burgos 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Castellon 6 5 1 0 +10 +0.4 16
2 Eibar 6 5 0 1 +8 +1.4 15
3 Mallorca 6 4 1 1 +6 +2.5 13
4 Sabadell 6 3 2 1 +2 +3.5 11
5 Girona 6 3 1 2 +4 +0.9 10
6 Las Palmas 5 3 1 1 +1 -1.8 10
7 Sp Gijon 6 3 1 2 +1 -1.0 10
8 Tenerife 6 3 1 2 -1 -0.8 10
9 Almeria 5 3 0 2 +4 -1.3 9
10 Burgos 5 2 2 1 +2 -0.8 8
11 Sociedad B 6 2 2 2 +1 -2.0 8
12 Granada 5 2 2 1 +1 +0.1 8
13 Oviedo 6 2 2 2 +1 +3.1 8
14 Leganes 5 2 2 1 +0 -2.0 8
15 Celta B 5 2 1 2 -1 -2.2 7
16 Cordoba 6 2 0 4 -4 +1.0 6
17 Eldense 6 1 2 3 -4 -1.9 5
18 Valladolid 6 1 2 3 -5 -1.6 5
19 Cadiz 6 0 3 3 -3 +2.4 3
20 Andorra 6 1 0 5 -4 +4.6 3
21 Albacete 6 0 1 5 -6 +0.4 1
22 Ceuta 6 0 1 5 -13 -5.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Feb -26 Las Palmas – Burgos 0–0 7. Sep -25 Burgos – Las Palmas 0–0 6. Feb -23 Burgos – Las Palmas 0–0 1. Nov -22 Las Palmas – Burgos 0–2 13. Feb -22 Las Palmas – Burgos 0–2

Match report

Las Palmas Burgos
Manu Fuster 🟨
29′
Enzo Loiodice 🟨
34′
1–0 Jesé Rodríguez ⚽
Manu Fuster
37′
45′
🔁 Álex Forés
↦ Curro
45′
🔁 José Gragera
↦ Marcelo Expósito
Half-time 1–0
56′
🟨 José Gragera
58′
⚽ Álex Forés 1–1
Jon Karrikaburu
Rafael Cruz Suarez 🔁
↦ Manu Fuster
64′
67′
🔁 Ignasi Vilarrasa Palacios
↦ Brais Martínez
67′
🔁 Victor Mollejo
↦ Jon Karrikaburu
Sandro Ramírez 🔁
↦ Taisei Miyashiro
71′
Jefte Betancor Sanchez 🔁
↦ Iván Jaime
71′
73′
🟨 Oier Luengo Redondo
75′
🔁 Iván Martínez
↦ Oier Luengo Redondo
Elías Romero 🔁
↦ Kirian Rodríguez
80′
Ivan Medina 🔁
↦ Jesé Rodríguez
80′
87′
🟨 Grego Sierra
94′
⚽ David Gonzalez 1–2
Javier Llabrés Exposito
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-4-2
13 José Caro G
25 Valentín Pezzolesi D
15 Juan Herzog D
21 G. Bonfanti D
12 E. Loiodice D
11 T. Miyashiro M
20 Kirian Rodríguez M
6 Iñaki González Zambrano M
14 Manu Fuster M
10 Jesé F
24 Iván Jaime F
Bench (12)
40 Aidán Pieter Pérez Kraaijeveld
19 Sandro Ramírez
9 J. Recoba
23 A. Rodriguez
29 Elías Romero
42 Rachid Saiah Bouchaiba
35 Adrián Suárez
43 Eduard Mohedano Serrano
30 I. Medina
32 Rafa Cruz
7 Jefté Betancor
16 Mateo Acimovic

Coach: Rubén De La Barrera

Burgos

4-4-2
13 Ander Cantero G
23 Alberto Dadie D
15 Oier Luengo D
8 Grego D
22 Brais Martínez D
14 David González M
12 Unai Vencedor M
5 Marcelo Expósito M
19 Javi Llabrés M
16 Curro Sánchez F
7 Jon Karrikaburu F
Bench (12)
36 I. Martinez
17 Mario Cantero
18 Saúl del Cerro
9 Álex Forés
4 P. Galdames
21 Fermin Garcia
20 José Gragera
1 Bruno Iribarne
24 S. Lencinas
39 David Hernáiz García
11 Víctor Mollejo
3 Ignasi Vilarrasa

Coach: Sergio Francisco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
🔒
U
3,25
🔒
B ✓
4,00
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,36
🔒
U1,5
3,00
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,20
🔒
U2,5
1,70
🔒
O3,5
3,95
🔒
U3,5 ✓
1,24
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,87
🔒
BLS nei
1,83
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jose Guzman · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.