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LaLiga2
Referee: Miranda Bolano
Ceuta
T T T T U
3–1
Full-time
Sociedad B
S U U S T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Sociedad B
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
2,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
2,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%
25 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 24
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Ceuta 22. · Sociedad B 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Castellon 6 5 1 0 +10 +0.4 16
2 Eibar 6 5 0 1 +8 +1.4 15
3 Girona 7 4 1 2 +6 +0.9 13
4 Mallorca 6 4 1 1 +6 +2.5 13
5 Almeria 6 4 0 2 +6 +0.4 12
6 Burgos 6 3 2 1 +3 -0.3 11
7 Sabadell 6 3 2 1 +2 +3.5 11
8 Leganes 6 3 2 1 +1 -2.0 11
9 Sp Gijon 6 3 1 2 +1 -1.0 10
10 Las Palmas 6 3 1 2 +0 -2.3 10
11 Tenerife 6 3 1 2 -1 -0.8 10
12 Sociedad B 6 2 2 2 +1 -2.0 8
13 Oviedo 6 2 2 2 +1 +3.1 8
14 Granada 6 2 2 2 +0 +0.1 8
15 Celta B 6 2 1 3 -3 -3.9 7
16 Cordoba 6 2 0 4 -4 +1.0 6
17 Eldense 6 1 2 3 -4 -1.9 5
18 Valladolid 6 1 2 3 -5 -1.6 5
19 Cadiz 6 0 3 3 -3 +2.4 3
20 Andorra 6 1 0 5 -4 +4.6 3
21 Albacete 7 0 1 6 -8 +0.4 1
22 Ceuta 6 0 1 5 -13 -5.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ceuta Sociedad B
33′
🟥 Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
44′
🟨 Kazunari Kita
Half-time 0–1
48′
⚽ Kazunari Kita 0–1
Carlos Hernández ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
51′
Jordi Escobar 🔁
↦ Joaquín Felipe González Rodríguez
64′
66′
🟥 Kazunari Kita
67′
🔁 Unax Agote
↦ Alex Marchal García
1–1 Carlos Hernández ⚽
Kialy Abdoul Kone
67′
José Juan Romero Gil 🟨
68′
71′
🟨 Gorka Carrera Zarranz
José Matos 🟨
71′
71′
🔁 Javier Soroeta
↦ Gorka Carrera Zarranz
72′
🔁 Ibai Aguirre
↦ Alex Lebarbier
72′
🔁 Gorka Gorosabel
↦ Dani Diaz
Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro 🟨
73′
Marino Illesca 🔁
↦ Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro
76′
Alejandro Meléndez 🔁
↦ José Antonio Abad Martínez
76′
2–1 Carlos Hernández ⚽
Kialy Abdoul Kone
81′
Abraham Bueno Espinosa 🔁
↦ Kialy Abdoul Kone
86′
86′
🔁 Sydney Osazuwa
↦ Iker Ropero
Arick Betancourt 🔁
↦ Anuar Mohamed Tuhami
86′
89′
🟨 Unax Agote
Kuki Zalazar 🟨
90′
97′
🟨 Jon Balda
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ceuta

4-3-3
13 Guille Vallejo G
2 Toni Abad D
6 Carlos Hernández D
4 Albert Caparrós D
3 José Matos D
23 A. Tuhami M
15 Joaquín M
32 Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro M
22 K. Koné F
8 Kuki F
7 Alejandro Camacho Ramírez F
Bench (10)
9 Jordi Escobar
28 Abraham Bueno Espinosa
14 Y. Bodiger
26 Arick Betancourt
10 Marino Illescas
27 U. Konare
1 Pedro López
34 D. Mas
20 Álex Meléndez
17 Mawuli Mensah

Coach: José Juan Romero

Sociedad B

4-4-2
1 Aitor Fraga G
2 Jon Garro D
29 Iker Ropero D
5 K. Kita D
3 Jon Balda D
7 Dani Díaz M
14 Tomás Carbonell M
6 A. Lebarbier M
11 Alex Garcia M
18 Gorka Carrera F
10 Arkaitz Mariezkurrena F
Bench (12)
16 Gorka Gorosabel
12 J. Oleaga
20 Sydney Osazuwa
22 Rupérez
19 Javier Soroeta
13 T. Folgado
21 Jon Eceizabarrena
15 I. Calderon
24 A. Unax
17 Lander Astiazarán
8 Ibai Aguirre
23 Unax Agote

Coach: Ion Ansotegi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,16
U
3,42
B
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,22
U1,5
3,88
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
3,00
U3,5
1,36
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,60
BLS nei
2,20

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.