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LaLiga2

Referee: Saul Ais Reig

Ceuta

T T T T T

1–1

Full-time

Valladolid

T T U S T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

0,5

0,3

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

60%

20%

Both score Ø 30%

40%

20%

Average goals

3,4

1,8

Scored

0,4

Conceded

3,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-2,6

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

12 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ceuta 22. · Valladolid 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Castellon	6	5	1	0	+10	+0.4	16
2	Eibar	6	5	0	1	+8	+1.4	15
3	Mallorca	6	4	1	1	+6	+2.5	13
4	Sabadell	6	3	2	1	+2	+3.5	11
5	Girona	6	3	1	2	+4	+0.9	10
6	Las Palmas	5	3	1	1	+1	-1.8	10
7	Sp Gijon	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.0	10
8	Tenerife	6	3	1	2	-1	-0.8	10
9	Almeria	5	3	0	2	+4	-1.3	9
10	Burgos	5	2	2	1	+2	-0.8	8
11	Sociedad B	6	2	2	2	+1	-2.0	8
12	Granada	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.1	8
13	Oviedo	6	2	2	2	+1	+3.1	8
14	Leganes	5	2	2	1	+0	-2.0	8
15	Celta B	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.2	7
16	Cordoba	6	2	0	4	-4	+1.0	6
17	Eldense	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.9	5
18	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-5	-1.6	4
19	Cadiz	6	0	3	3	-3	+2.4	3
20	Andorra	6	1	0	5	-4	+4.6	3
21	Albacete	6	0	1	5	-6	+0.4	1
22	Ceuta	5	0	0	5	-13	-5.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mallorca	3	3	0	0	+7	+2.5	9
2	Sabadell	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.1	9
3	Castellon	3	2	1	0	+7	-1.2	7
4	Burgos	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.7	7
5	Almeria	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
6	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.0	6
7	Tenerife	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.2	6
8	Girona	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.4	4
9	Granada	2	1	1	0	+2	–	4
10	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
11	Sp Gijon	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.0	4
12	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
13	Andorra	4	1	0	3	-1	+3.4	3
14	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
15	Celta B	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.2	3
16	Cordoba	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.3	3
17	Eldense	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.3	2
18	Oviedo	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.7	2
19	Cadiz	4	0	2	2	-2	+1.1	2
20	Sociedad B	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.6	1
21	Albacete	3	0	0	3	-3	+0.0	0
22	Ceuta	2	0	0	2	-4	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	3	3	0	0	+6	-0.7	9
2	Castellon	3	3	0	0	+3	+1.6	9
3	Sociedad B	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.4	7
4	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
5	Oviedo	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.4	6
6	Girona	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.6	6
7	Las Palmas	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.4	6
8	Leganes	4	1	2	1	-1	-2.6	5
9	Celta B	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
10	Granada	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.1	4
11	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	-1	–	4
12	Tenerife	3	1	1	1	-3	-1.0	4
13	Almeria	3	1	0	2	+0	-1.3	3
14	Cordoba	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.7	3
15	Eldense	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.6	3
16	Sabadell	3	0	2	1	-2	+2.4	2
17	Cadiz	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.3	1
18	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
19	Albacete	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.4	1
20	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.6	1
21	Andorra	2	0	0	2	-3	+1.2	0
22	Ceuta	3	0	0	3	-9	-5.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Jan -26 Ceuta – Valladolid 0–3 15. Aug -25 Valladolid – Ceuta 3–0

Match report

Ceuta Valladolid

12′

🟨 Juan Miguel Latasa

Carlos Hernández 🟨

31′

José Antonio Abad Martínez 🔁

↦ Arick Betancourt

45′

Yann Bodiger 🔁

↦ Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze

45′

Half-time 0–1

53′

⚽ Juan Miguel Latasa 0–1

Julien Ponceau

Omar Sadik 🔁

↦ Alejandro Meléndez

64′

Jordi Escobar 🔁

↦ Alejandro Camacho Ramírez

64′

70′

🔁 Alejandro Balboa Bandeira

↦ Julien Ponceau

70′

🔁 Kaj de Rooij

↦ Víctor Fernández

70′

🔁 Yeray Cabanzón

↦ Adrian Arnu

Joaquín Felipe González Rodríguez 🔁

↦ Edgar Sevikyan

70′

79′

🟨 Alejandro Balboa Bandeira

82′

🔁 Robin van Duiven

↦ Juan Miguel Latasa

Omar Sadik 🟨

85′

86′

🟨 Iván Garriel

87′

🟥 Alejandro Balboa Bandeira

89′

🔁 Pablo Tomeo Félez

↦ Luis Rodríguez Chacón

Omar Sadik 🟥

91′

Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ceuta

4-3-3

Guille Vallejo G

Arick Betancourt D

Carlos Hernández D

Albert Caparrós D

José Matos D

Mawuli Mensah M

Álex Meléndez M

32 Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro M

E. Sevikyan F

Kuki F

Alejandro Camacho Ramírez F

Bench (10)

29 O. Sadik

9 Jordi Escobar

28 Abraham Bueno Espinosa

14 Y. Bodiger

2 Toni Abad

15 Joaquín

27 U. Konare

1 Pedro López

34 D. Mas

31 Adrián Romero

Coach: José Juan Romero

Valladolid

4-4-2

Álvaro Aceves G

Iván Alejo D

Miguel Rubio D

David Torres D

Iván Garriel D

Víctor Fernández M

J. Ponceau M

S. Jurić M

Luis Chacón M

Adrian Arnuncio F

Juanmi Latasa F

Bench (12)

17 Victor Barberá

11 Yeray Cabanzón

18 Clerc

20 R. Duiven

22 K. de Rooij

15 Pablo Tomeo

2 Trilli

32 Marcos Parriego

5 Ramón Martínez

26 L. Lavagnino

23 T. Abed

16 Álex Balboa

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

2,88

🔒

Bet365 3,00 Pinnacle 3,00 1xBet 2,97 Betano 2,95 Marathonbet 2,88 Betfair 2,80 BetVictor 2,80 William Hill 2,80 SBO 2,78

U ✓

3,20

🔒

1xBet 3,34 Pinnacle 3,33 Betano 3,30 Marathonbet 3,24 Bet365 3,20 BetVictor 3,13 SBO 3,12 Betfair 3,10 William Hill 3,10

2,38

🔒

Pinnacle 2,50 1xBet 2,47 Betano 2,47 Marathonbet 2,39 Bet365 2,38 BetVictor 2,38 William Hill 2,38 SBO 2,32 Betfair 2,30

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,33

🔒

U1,5

3,25

🔒

O2,5

2,07

🔒

U2,5 ✓

1,75

🔒

O3,5

3,70

🔒

U3,5 ✓

1,25

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

1,78

🔒

BLS nei

1,95

🔒

Recent matches

11. Sep LL2 1 week ago

5. Sep LL2 2 weeks ago

30. Aug LL2 3 weeks ago

22. Aug LL2 4 weeks ago

15. Aug LL2 1 month ago

Referee

Saul Ais Reig · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,6 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

22,6 / match

Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Recent head-to-head meetings

Match report

Line-ups

Ceuta

Valladolid

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee