NM-cupen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosenborg
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +18 | 9 |
| 2 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 9 |
| 3 |
Kristiansund
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 9 |
| 4 |
Fredrikstad
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 9 |
| 5 |
Viking
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |
Asane
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 7 |
Lillestrom
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 8 |
Stabaek
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 9 |
KFUM Oslo
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 10 |
Bryne
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 11 |
Ham-Kam
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 12 |
Kongsvinger
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 7 |
| 13 |
Molde
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 7 |
| 14 |
Egersund
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 |
| 15 |
Sogndal
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 16 |
Mjondalen
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 17 |
Ranheim
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 18 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 6 |
| 19 |
Haugesund
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 6 |
| 20 |
Alta
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 6 |
| 21 |
Tromso
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 6 |
| 22 |
Brann
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 6 |
| 23 |
Sandefjord
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 24 |
Strommen
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 25 |
Aalesund
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 26 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 27 |
Moss
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 28 |
Lyn
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 29 |
Rana
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 30 |
Os
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 6 |
| 31 |
Pors Grenland
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 6 |
| 32 |
Stromsgodset
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 4 |
| 33 |
Træff
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 34 |
Grorud
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 35 |
Levanger
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 3 |
| 36 |
Eidsvold
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 37 |
Follo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 38 |
Raufoss
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 39 |
Jerv
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 40 |
Start
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 41 |
Lysekloster
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 42 |
Lørenskog
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 43 |
Vidar
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 44 |
Torvastad
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 45 |
Skeid
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 46 |
Bjarg
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 47 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 48 |
Skjervøy
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 49 |
Nardo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 50 |
Fram
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 51 |
Sotra
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 52 |
Flekkerøy
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 53 |
Sandviken
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 54 |
Strindheim
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 55 |
Kjelsås
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 56 |
Elverum
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 57 |
Junkeren
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 58 |
Flint
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 59 |
Sortland
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 60 |
Bærum
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 61 |
Nordstrand
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 62 |
Asker
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 63 |
Brattvåg
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 64 |
Arendal
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 65 |
Valerenga
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 66 |
Ull/Kisa
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 67 |
hodd
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 68 |
Ørn Horten
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 69 |
IF Ready
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 70 |
Gamle Oslo
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
| 71 |
Odd
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 72 |
Djerv
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 73 |
Harstad
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 74 |
Råde
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 75 |
Fløya
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 76 |
Volda
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 77 |
Trygg/Lade
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 78 |
Hønefoss
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 79 |
Oppsal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 80 |
Melbo IL
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 81 |
Kvik Trondheim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 82 |
Byåsen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 83 |
Fana
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 84 |
Sverresborg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 85 |
Våg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 86 |
Kvik Halden
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 87 |
Frigg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 88 |
Brodd
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 89 |
Fjøra
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 90 |
NHHI
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 91 |
Gjøvik-Lyn
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 92 |
Spjelkavik
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 93 |
Sandnes ULF
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 94 |
Gneist
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 95 |
Lillehammer
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 96 |
Vard
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 97 |
Ullern
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 98 |
Brumunddal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 99 |
Eik-Tønsberg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 100 |
Åssiden IF
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 101 |
Notodden
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 102 |
Vindbjart
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 103 |
Union Carl Berner
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 104 |
Rollon
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 105 |
Ulfstind
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 106 |
Melhus
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 107 |
Askøy
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 108 |
SF Grei
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 109 |
Sprint-Jeløy
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 110 |
Mosjøen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 111 |
Sarpsborg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 112 |
Varhaug
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 113 |
Bjørkelangen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 114 |
Skjetten
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 115 |
Skedsmo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 116 |
Konnerud
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 117 |
Teie
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 118 |
Eiger
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 119 |
Varegg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 120 |
Hana
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 121 |
Elnesvågen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
| 122 |
Verdal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
| 123 |
Innstranden
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
| 124 |
Rindal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10 | 0 |
| 125 |
Hamna
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10 | 0 |
| 126 |
Bjørnevatn
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11 | 0 |
| 127 |
Nord
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11 | 0 |
| 128 |
Ridabu
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -12 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Larsen Tor
Aukland Philip
Melland Henrik
Kjelsen Alexander
Nesso Kristoffer
Haram Simen
Hammer Hakon
Haikin Nikita
Aleesami Haitam
Gundersen Jostein
Saltnes Ulrik
Nielsen Villads
Berg Patrick
Evjen Hakon
Hogh Kasper
Sorli Sondre
Jens Petter Hauge
Sjovold Fredrik
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Aalesund
Raufoss
Asane
Aalesund
Ull/Kisa
Aalesund
Aalesund
Mjondalen
Rollon
Aalesund
Marius Lien · 28 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.