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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Ole-Alexander Ekeli Valen

Skeid

S T T T T

1–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Skeid Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

1,3

2,8

Conceded

2,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+2,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

80%

Points per game

0,0

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

80%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

80%

20%

Average goals

4,0

2,4

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

2,8

0,4

Goal diff per game

-1,6

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Skeid 16. · Lillestrom 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Egersund	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Kongsvinger	5	3	1	1	+10	10
4	Start	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	hodd	6	3	1	2	+0	10
6	Aalesund	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Sogndal	6	3	0	3	+0	9
8	Ranheim	6	3	0	3	-1	9
9	Moss	6	3	0	3	-4	9
10	Raufoss	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Odd	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Stabaek	5	2	1	2	-3	7
13	Asane	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Lyn	6	1	0	5	-3	3
15	Mjondalen	6	0	2	4	-6	2
16	Skeid	5	0	0	5	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Moss	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Odd	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Raufoss	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Sogndal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Aalesund	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Kongsvinger	2	1	1	0	+6	4
9	Stabaek	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Start	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	hodd	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Ranheim	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Asane	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Mjondalen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
15	Lyn	3	0	0	3	-3	0
16	Skeid	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Start	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Egersund	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	hodd	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Kongsvinger	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Ranheim	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Aalesund	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Asane	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Lyn	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Sogndal	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Stabaek	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Raufoss	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Mjondalen	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Odd	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Skeid	3	0	0	3	-3	0
16	Moss	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.