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League Cup
Referee: Scott Oldham
Accrington ST
T T S U T
3–1
Full-time
Oldham
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Accrington ST Oldham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,35 xG 0,21
42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Accrington ST Oldham
1–0 A. Popoola
K. Mooney
10′
2–0 K. Mooney
F. Rawson
17′
3–0 J. Woods
34′
37′
🔁 M. Hudson
↦ T. Donaghy
Half-time 3–0
Charlie Brown 🟨
52′
61′
🔁 K. Drummond
↦ J. Hawkes
62′
R. Ogle 3–1
K. Morris
C. Caton 🔁
↦ A. Popoola
63′
T. Walton 🔁
↦ K. Mooney
66′
71′
🟨 Kieron Morris
79′
🔁 T. Conlon
↦ R. Woods
79′
🔁 J. Stevens
↦ K. Morris
D. Love 🔁
↦ S. Conneely
84′
L. Coyle 🔁
↦ C. Brown
84′
I. Sinclair 🔁
↦ A. Henderson
84′
Donald Love 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Accrington ST

3-4-1-2
13 O. Wright
17 D. Matthews
5 F. Rawson D
3 F. Sass
20 C. Brown M
28 S. Conneely M
10 A. Henderson M
31 F. Tunstall
39 J. Woods F
9 K. Mooney F
19 A. Popoola F
Bench (6)
2 D. Love
6 L. Coyle
11 I. Sinclair
18 C. Caton
21 J. Rogerson
23 T. Walton

Coach: John Doolan

Oldham

4-4-2
31 T. Donaghy G
2 R. Ogle D
16 W. Sutton D
6 M. Monthe D
19 L. Hannant D
18 K. Morris M
27 O. Hammond M
8 R. Woods M
21 J. Hawkes M
23 K. Harratt F
9 M. Fondop-Talum F
Bench (6)
1 M. Hudson
10 T. Conlon
11 J. Stevens
15 K. Drummond
29 J. Kay
30 B. Waters

Coach: Michael Joseph Mellon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.