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Champions League
Referee: I Kruzliak
Shkendija
T U S S S
0–1
Full-time
Qarabag
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shkendija Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 88%
75%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Shkendija Qarabag
18′
⚽ T. Bayramov 0–1
Klisman Cake 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–1
A. Zejnullai 🔁
↦ E. Krasniqi
46′
K. Qaka 🔁
↦ A. Alhassan
46′
58′
🔁 M. Jankovic
↦ E. Addai
V. Krstevski 🔁
↦ L. Latifi
62′
66′
🟨 Kady Borges
69′
🟨 Mateusz Kochalski
Arbin Zejnullai 🟨
70′
73′
🔁 O. Kashchuk
↦ Kady Borges
73′
🔁 E. Cafarquliyev
↦ T. Bayramov
F. Ademi 🔁
↦ F. Tamba
80′
80′
🔁 Chriso
↦ Leandro Andrade
80′
🔁 A. Huseynov
↦ Matheus Silva
Kamer Qaka 🟨
85′
F. Ramadani 🔁
↦ B. Ibraimi
89′
Imran Fetai 🟨
93′
94′
🟨 Oleksiy Kashchuk
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Shkendija

4-2-3-1
24 B. Gaye G
2 A. Trumci D
15 I. Fetai D
5 K. Cake D
11 R. Webster D
4 R. Ramadani M
6 A. Alhassan M
29 F. Tamba F
10 E. Krasniqi M
77 L. Latifi F
7 B. Ibraimi F
Bench (12)
25 A. Amzai
30 F. Ramani
8 F. Ramadani
9 F. Ademi
16 M. Murati
17 A. Zejnullai
19 V. Krstevski
22 N. Ajetovikj
26 A. Meliqi
27 L. Kaba
28 K. Qaka
38 A. Nuhija

Coach: Jeton Bekjiri

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 M. Kochalski G
2 Matheus Silva D
13 B. Mustafazada D
81 K. Medina D
27 T. Bayramov D
35 Pedro Bicalho M
20 Kady Borges M
15 Leandro Andrade M
11 E. Addai M
10 A. Zoubir
90 N. Akhundzade F
Bench (12)
1 S. Mahammadaliyev
97 F. Buntic
3 S. Mmaee
6 Chriso
8 M. Jankovic
18 Dani Bolt
21 O. Kashchuk
22 M. Qurbanly
30 A. Huseynov
32 H. Cabrayilzada
44 E. Cafarquliyev
55 B. Huseynov

Coach: Qurban Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kruzliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.